TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7187…f08b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
186
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Commodities, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 58 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT4337.2%16 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick30cpaid-29%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.63
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,498Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$1,668.18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17,588Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$7,972.14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,641Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$1,067.08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15,661Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+150.1%+$23,502.26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$9,351Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+135.2%+$12,647.05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$65.47
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$156.77
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.2
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$470.43
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.04
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.98
Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Military action against Iran ends on March 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.01
Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.11
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.76
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.32
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.26
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.84
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestoneslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT3148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 August 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,201Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,200.55
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 August 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,002.74
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$91.66
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+182.1%+$640.87
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$812Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+215.5%+$1,750.88
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+75%+$757.46
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$59.81
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 29-July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.6%+$791.1
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$171.78
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+135.8%+$19.43
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.21
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+79%+$23.7
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 1-7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+115.6%+$346.74
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+110.6%+$4,616.06
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,944Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$2,924.18
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$3,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,107.31
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2326.1%6 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+2,011%+$6,796.2
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,932Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,931.65
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.19
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$739Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$739.39
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.6
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.45
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$3,879Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,879.13
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.41
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.56
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,507Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+242.7%+$6,082.67
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.65
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,799Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,798.87
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+238.5%+$732.95
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$944.75
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.94
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.68
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.18
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+115.8%+$55.68
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+92.8%+$33.51
All 23 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+84.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+1,042.3%+$1,149.95
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.36
Will Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.96
Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.87
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$78.55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,849Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$1,601.18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$428.61
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,098Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+463.1%+$9,717.96
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,848Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+139.3%+$3,966.23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$608.23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,147.48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+54%+$222.46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.78
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.54
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,199Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+779.5%+$17,136.9
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.88
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,102.84
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$3,618Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,617.74
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,012.68
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$786Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$786.45
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,661Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,660.6
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.68
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+96%+$287.91
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,778Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,778.03
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Wild vs. Stars backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.02
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$252
Stars vs. Utahbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Jets vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-78.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,017Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+203%+$4,093.39
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.5
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.6
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.3
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.35
Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.79
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$897Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$897.17
Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.42
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$643.99
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.21
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.36
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23,456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,455.83
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45,989Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+557.7%+$256,491.52
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$69.27
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,118.69
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$7,709Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,708.72
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19,309Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$7,285.85
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+241%+$4,819.64
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,263.6
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10,878Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,877.85
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$753Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$752.52
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.95
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+220.5%+$46.77
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+119.5%+$19.86
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.32
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$7.3
Will François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-64.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+92.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-60.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+120.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+245.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+245.4%+$613.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$11.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.