World Politics · resolved market
Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5153775b1693ef577a567cade666e1cae41327a48b3ba3d7748078d8181ca1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,920 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 5c | 5,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04e…77dfbacked Yes | 10c | 3,666$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.97 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…0580backed Yes | 15c | 3,390$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Yes | 5c | 3,064$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064f…e8e6backed Yes | 6c | 2,732$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.16 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8829…06e0backed Yes | 13c | 2,329$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…90c3backed Yes | 14c | 2,144$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74e…e0a6backed Yes | 6c | 2,025$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…2fe2backed Yes | 2c | 1,839$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…942abacked Yes | 19c | 1,615$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 1,457$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb55…3eb2backed Yes | 4c | 1,455$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e95…4286backed Yes | 2c | 1,332$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac8…6e66backed Yes | 2c | 1,320$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…a745backed Yes | 14c | 1,290$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf041…dde5backed Yes | 14c | 1,140$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…d7ecbacked Yes | 4c | 1,133$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdede…8a50backed Yes | 3c | 1,069$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8b…b15ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,021$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 3c | 1,015$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 150 | 22.7%34 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 10c | 994.58$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705b…02ebbacked Yes | 21c | 987.91$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…ab96backed Yes | 17c | 899.98$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…adc3backed Yes | 16c | 835.43$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +63%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70c2…4063backed Yes | 13c | 760.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed Yes | 10c | 743.12$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.77 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…77d4backed Yes | 32c | 716$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bb…bdb8backed Yes | 20c | 713.69$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 660.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d177backed Yes | 5c | 638.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…6531backed Yes | 4c | 569.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…1541backed Yes | 3c | 528.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed Yes | 8c | 514.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a22…fca9backed Yes | 5c | 499.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…bd92backed Yes | 9c | 483.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd508…259dbacked Yes | 4c | 481.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35df…55f7backed Yes | 4c | 450.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234a…cbffbacked Yes | 12c | 444$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…71aebacked Yes | 18c | 443.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34be…6797backed Yes | 12c | 419$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…ab90backed Yes | 28c | 411.29$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Yes | 13c | 411.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…d9e4backed Yes | 5c | 410.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 9c | 407.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 10c | 402.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…d6f1backed Yes | 12c | 402$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 7c | 400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed Yes | 14c | 380$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked Yes | 20c | 360.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebfc…665cbacked Yes | 14c | 358.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…15ddbacked Yes | 15c | 357$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 12c | 350.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 77c | 350$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e41…3745backed Yes | 9c | 347$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74e…1fa9backed Yes | 16c | 346.85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…6eafbacked Yes | 12c | 337.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed Yes | 7c | 330.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80b2…c753backed Yes | 13c | 323.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279e…5994backed Yes | 7c | 301.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37f…fdcfbacked Yes | 8c | 300.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 11c | 278.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…7572backed Yes | 15c | 256$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…e435backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3d…fddcbacked Yes | 13c | 239.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +112%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe69…5b7ebacked Yes | 13c | 219.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293a…24f9backed Yes | 16c | 205$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9d…32f0backed No | 79c | 202.03$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4f…df8fbacked Yes | 9c | 196.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 9c | 195.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…e9a7backed Yes | 6c | 193.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b90…1d17backed Yes | 16c | 192.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc25f…1368backed Yes | 7c | 191.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27bc…eb65backed Yes | 14c | 190$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 13c | 189.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…5166backed Yes | 14c | 181.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…d2babacked Yes | 11c | 177.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…089fbacked Yes | 11c | 171.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa84…3dc6backed Yes | 12c | 170.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…e04abacked Yes | 8c | 170$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed Yes | 14c | 169.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d0…4b71backed Yes | 10c | 157.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 8c | 154.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 7c | 153.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…60debacked Yes | 17c | 150.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…88f5backed Yes | 14c | 145.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3854…5f82backed Yes | 17c | 139$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dd…cfc9backed Yes | 8c | 134$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed Yes | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…138abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…1980backed Yes | 19c | 122.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0621…52debacked Yes | 12c | 121.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc4…5263backed Yes | 20c | 115$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 9c | 112.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2c…31f4backed Yes | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…744fbacked Yes | 11c | 106.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed Yes | 9c | 106.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60e…a4ddbacked Yes | 10c | 102.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…b247backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?this page
- Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?Yes won
- Will Erwann Davoux win the Marseille mayor election?No won
- Will Martine Vassal win the Marseille mayor election?No won
- Will Sébastien Delogu win the Marseille mayor election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.