TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x528f…7572

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: AI, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category AI at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kurds declare independence from Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.76
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.68
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$189.29
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$151
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.58
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$532.44
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.86
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$36.3
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.09
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$79.22
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$98.88
Military action against Iran ends by March 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+354.5%+$464.88
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$476.04
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$110.18
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$375.53
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$150.12
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$53.2
Will Trump say "Hell" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+56.3%+$136.44
Will Trump say "Peace" 8+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+88.7%+$60.16
Will Trump say "General" or "Bondi" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.34
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$36.48
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+270.4%+$500.78
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$122.84
All 24 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+59.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$388.04
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+160.7%+$81.99
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$212.1
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$124.1
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$181.44
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$175.45
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 60 and 70?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$64.68
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 70 and 80?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$162.24
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$132.6
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$62.76
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$44.2
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$72.24
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.69
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Will The Traitors win Best Producer of Game & Competition TV at the 37th PGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.31
Will The Pitt win Best Producer of a TV Drama Series at the 37th PGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$37.6
Will "Sinners" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$61.18
Will "The Perfect Neighbour" win Best Documentary at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$136.76
Will Jesse Armstrong - Mountainhead win Best Director of a Movie for Television at the 78th DGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$61.28
Will Marshall Curry - SNL50: Beyond Saturday Night win Best Director of a Documentary Series or News at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+177.8%+$269.44
Will Liz Patrick - SNL50: The Anniversary Special win Best Director of Variety at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$46.58
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+123.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+86.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+111.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.24
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$212.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$235.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$90.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguarsbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Christian Menefee win the Texas House special election runoff by 15% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$55.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$196.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$125.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "President" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$156.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.