Middle East · resolved market
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3c8a84db9fb4e3f2c67fe688e8b5b67e9c7f45cd8de844c26833658199761c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $624,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $603,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $624,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 429 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab1c…35a7backed No | 1c | 73,614$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.55 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce6…311ebacked No | 0c | 66,666$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d7…7848backed No | 1c | 27,974$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.17 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x679d…6f07backed No | 0c | 21,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…ff53backed No | 0c | 11,289$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c1…154cbacked No | 1c | 8,303$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…11a2backed Yes | 71c | 6,984$4,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.64 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6339…141ebacked Yes | 73c | 6,669$4,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.46 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4664…8be1backed No | 2c | 6,024$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c83…d131backed No | 0c | 5,965$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88a…7e26backed No | 1c | 5,957$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535e…ccd9backed Yes | 60c | 5,226$3,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.87 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…bc44backed No | 30c | 4,674$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.62 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 77c | 4,353$3,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.85 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +12.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e5…f6fcbacked No | 3c | 4,334$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.02 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d3…4800backed No | 12c | 3,814$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…476abacked No | 1c | 3,683$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…4f56backed No | 55c | 2,874$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…0f0ebacked No | 10c | 2,773$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…f074backed No | 5c | 2,614$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edd…6569backed No | 8c | 2,535$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc4…1143backed No | 8c | 2,493$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…4145backed No | 9c | 2,470$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa418…da92backed No | 2c | 2,448$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe0…7671backed No | 1c | 2,301$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked No | 60c | 2,139$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.09 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Yes | 45c | 2,089$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.97 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed No | 1c | 1,845$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…a882backed No | 5c | 1,641$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…9e19backed No | 35c | 1,595$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9846…ca9ebacked Yes | 42c | 1,563$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.46 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…bd74backed Yes | 52c | 1,545$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…dd8ebacked No | 1c | 1,441$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd69…e123backed No | 43c | 1,438$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…63b6backed Yes | 48c | 1,415$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…e4c8backed Yes | 80c | 1,414$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.8 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc8…3544backed No | 6c | 1,362$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…141abacked Yes | 64c | 1,355$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.58 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed Yes | 80c | 1,311$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked Yes | 80c | 1,269$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…17b5backed No | 2c | 1,266$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +227.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…e46bbacked No | 52c | 1,238$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 29c | 1,234$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.96 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28fc…8555backed Yes | 76c | 1,231$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.52 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…d1bebacked Yes | 80c | 1,224$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3847…df89backed No | 57c | 1,221$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…829bbacked No | 2c | 1,194$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…8234backed No | 17c | 1,179$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9498…d950backed Yes | 80c | 1,177$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +149%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13c…3208backed No | 3c | 1,153$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…297bbacked Yes | 80c | 1,152$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf562…4099backed Yes | 40c | 1,138$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.02 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…ebc2backed No | 19c | 1,102$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 7c | 1,097$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 113 | 20.4%23 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked No | 37c | 1,059$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.48 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…5f84backed No | 20c | 1,031$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…fb46backed No | 19c | 1,026$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.04 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02f8…6c22backed Yes | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1639…e706backed No | 18c | 1,010$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 40cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4628…ee62backed No | 40c | 1,007$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +152.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22b5…bdcabacked No | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…61acbacked No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…f573backed No | 4c | 999.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed Yes | 56c | 991$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…b167backed Yes | 80c | 984$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.33per pick | 41cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed No | 20c | 935$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.68 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…78c7backed Yes | 54c | 929$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…e62fbacked Yes | 80c | 907$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.4 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6232…f92abacked No | 72c | 904.88$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed No | 34c | 902$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.48 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517f…1e0abacked No | 14c | 884.57$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…f215backed Yes | 80c | 873$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…46eebacked Yes | 79c | 869$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.49 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…644ebacked No | 40c | 856$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 8c | 840.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…0901backed No | 21c | 840.06$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…6cd5backed No | 20c | 834$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d7…8c45backed No | 42c | 829$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f94…7d96backed No | 40c | 827.47$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.98 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 52c | 827.1$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.7 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…66fdbacked No | 18c | 797$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff0c…36eebacked Yes | 80c | 790$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099b…839dbacked No | 3c | 776.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d04…131dbacked Yes | 46c | 767$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd741…65a2backed No | 20c | 761.66$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.39per pick | 18cpaid | +1,580.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60b3…55cfbacked Yes | 80c | 756.91$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.38 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 19c | 756.9$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.48 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…1796backed No | 19c | 755$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060a…563bbacked No | 54c | 742.12$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…c2dfbacked No | 18c | 742$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…68cabacked No | 20c | 741$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf888…1c04backed No | 18c | 739$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.46 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed Yes | 79c | 734$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.14 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…56e8backed No | 51c | 697$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.47 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 16c | 685.34$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed No | 78c | 684$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.52 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 75c | 665.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -10.5wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8f36…e52fbacked No | 2c | 651.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed No | 20c | 651$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…b42cbacked Yes | 80c | 648$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.