TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa756…b167

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Tweets, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.33per pick41cpaid-89.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.09
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.05
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.36
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.68
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.3
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$110.66
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$787Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$196.8
Will Israel strike 3 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.25
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$455.85
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$304.52
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$293.88
Will Israel strike 3 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$84.96
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-58.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.2
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$575.3
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$160.94
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.3
Will the Brooklyn Nets have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.57
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+179.3%+$81.53
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.56
Will the New Orleans Pelicans have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.01
Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$54.51
Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$125.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$168.13
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$69.16
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$129.34
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$33.84
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.4
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$230.05
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.4
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$139.44
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-55.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$74.25
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.42
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$74.25
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.05
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.48
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.38
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+37%+$187.38
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.32
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.15
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$344.56
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$303.24
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$121.6
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$89
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+37%+$84.78
Will Yorgos Lanthimos be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40.81
Will Wagner Moura be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$78.48
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.83per pick18cpaid+475.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$132.3
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$158.48
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$63.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$50.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+230%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+230%+$175.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+163.2%+$379.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Igor Jesus score the most goals in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$344.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+38.9%+$136.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$180.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Levy win the DP AfrAsia Bank Mauritius Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$85.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trove launch a token by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$154.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.