Movies · resolved market

Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02d03a859b9d64c7cbbc2a2c3172898bb89b379dba10d54d74ee2c1d5036a71b

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 22, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $98,212
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $97,613

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,212 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes	1c	3,369$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.99	111	4.5%5 W · 106 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c1…2f84backed No	80c	1,216$973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.2	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes	29c	1,117$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.42	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+3.7wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0de5…d01cbacked Yes	21c	1,049$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.29	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.18per pick	36cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfbd…17c9backed No	80c	900$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x668b…3884backed Yes	28c	888$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.64	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-28%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaef9…0acbbacked No	76c	852$648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.48	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+4.7wins	+0.26per pick	41cpaid	+123%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x354c…b301backed No	73c	852$622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.04	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f8…5145backed No	78c	827$644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.78	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ea1…6487backed Yes	25c	813$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.25	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-6.1wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8624…b484backed No	76c	799$607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.76	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0184…23f6backed Yes	27c	789$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.03	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90e2…7babbacked Yes	21c	772$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.12	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.14per pick	32cpaid	+44%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b4…c17abacked Yes	24c	768$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.32	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	13c	751.98$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	482	36.3%175 W · 307 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73df…ba67backed Yes	20c	749$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.8	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes	5c	746.92$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.71	71	25.4%18 W · 53 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7485…b217backed No	80c	705$564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.0wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+120.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c22…50e1backed Yes	21c	703$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.63	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	6c	670.61$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.63	89	4.5%4 W · 85 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccc2…271abacked Yes	20c	646$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.2	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+4.0wins	+0.21per pick	37cpaid	+71.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb6a4…aa57backed No	79c	640$506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.4	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71d2…e109backed No	79c	630$498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.3	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+3.0wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6546…c454backed No	77c	629$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.67	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca36…bb1dbacked Yes	23c	627$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.21	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6034…b5fdbacked No	72c	624$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.72	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe513…b842backed Yes	23c	616$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.68	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ec…46cebacked Yes	21c	615$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.15	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17be…7a33backed No	72c	605$436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.4	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-3.7wins	-0.20per pick	41cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb862…5aaebacked No	77c	593$458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.41	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6317…e864backed Yes	26c	581$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.06	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x322a…3274backed No	76c	574$436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.76	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+3.4wins	+0.16per pick	39cpaid	+43.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x28d6…f54ebacked No	66c	558$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.87	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a6e…88adbacked Yes	21c	548$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.08	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+3.7wins	+0.17per pick	51cpaid	+46.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa18…7693backed No	75c	548$411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf049…29fdbacked No	74c	544$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.44	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e72…7de5backed Yes	22c	539$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.25	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe87e…4f70backed Yes	28c	532$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.96	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1294…9151backed Yes	26c	524$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.24	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f5…b461backed Yes	24c	520$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.15	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8151…3421backed No	79c	517$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.09	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+4.8wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d2b…fd2cbacked Yes	27c	515$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.05	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.5wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x23c1…704bbacked No	79c	510$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.1	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ef…095ebacked Yes	29c	510$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.41	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.24per pick	51cpaid	-50%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcfb8…ec8dbacked No	70c	508$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.88	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02a5…c0edbacked No	77c	505$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.15	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6951…cb02backed Yes	23c	500$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53d…8ab8backed No	76c	497$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.28	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5516…2263backed No	79c	481$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.01	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c824backed Yes	25c	472$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8959…50f8backed No	80c	471$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.2	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-3.7wins	-0.21per pick	43cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x82e4…fa57backed No	79c	467$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.07	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd7d…5bc1backed No	73c	458$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.66	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+4.4wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x997f…b3c2backed No	65c	458$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.3	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b92…f4c6backed No	80c	445$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-4.2wins	-0.20per pick	44cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7170…ed44backed Yes	20c	445$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa756…b167backed Yes	20c	445$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a94…7154backed Yes	23c	442$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.66	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6587…4f63backed No	68c	438$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.16	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+2.5wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x293b…09a9backed Yes	24c	437$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.88	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadc9…5856backed No	71c	420$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.8	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe27…9623backed Yes	24c	413$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.12	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d9…4c53backed Yes	20c	406$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.2	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d91…89d8backed No	79c	403$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.63	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-59%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	16c	401.09$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.8	299	26.4%79 W · 220 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes	46c	400$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0702…d5f9backed Yes	47c	400$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f3…09e0backed Yes	20c	397$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.4	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8bb…e885backed Yes	28c	397$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.16	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…9c76backed No	71c	397$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.09	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58e1…a5cdbacked Yes	28c	396$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.42	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f52…a35abacked Yes	21c	391$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.11	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+5.7wins	+0.27per pick	44cpaid	+90.5%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd1d7…8c45backed No	72c	390$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.2	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	11c	379.28$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.89	1,393	8%111 W · 1,282 L	-47.9wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fe6…d8e3backed No	79c	378$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.38	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2034…8daebacked No	48c	377.1$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.31	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+24%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06cd…e124backed Yes	25c	377$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.68	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.6wins	-0.18per pick	40cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes	15c	376.48$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.61	67	29.9%20 W · 47 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-44%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76fd…e8c4backed No	77c	372$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.56	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.26per pick	46cpaid	+93.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf351…6284backed Yes	20c	372$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.4	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0caa…fb12backed Yes	23c	372$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.56	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bfa…4578backed No	75c	367$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.75	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.33per pick	47cpaid	+58.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ae…44adbacked Yes	40c	360$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.56	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8737…2bffbacked No	80c	356$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.2	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x39be…5e7bbacked No	73c	350$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.5	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7747…039cbacked Yes	5c	347.86$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e36…2479backed No	72c	346$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.88	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…f404backed Yes	29c	345$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.05	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad46…0918backed No	77c	344$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.12	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.6wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+90.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x671a…ee5abacked No	72c	340$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.2	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91af…95c8backed Yes	28c	339$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.92	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.19per pick	39cpaid	+48.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1056…5b18backed No	78c	338$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.86	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65ae…e13abacked No	79c	330$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.3	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	58cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb25c…6d89backed No	77c	328$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.44	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc336…9f48backed Yes	24c	328$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.02	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fb…e392backed Yes	21c	326$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.46	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12c2…aa71backed No	78c	326$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.85	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-3.2wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b8d…24efbacked No	79c	326$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.46	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa15b…200fbacked Yes	23c	320$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.6	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98ed…7a3fbacked Yes	25c	319$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.75	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-60%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event