TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6587…4f63

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
159
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 59 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT2458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.06
Will Margot Robbie attend the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$355.35
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.6
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$153.05
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will The Pitt win Best Producer of a TV Drama Series at the 37th PGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$350.4
Will "Hamnet" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$39.5
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+316.7%+$424.84
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+138.1%+$109.04
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$64.4
Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$48.25
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+132.6%+$144.78
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$140.16
Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$64.9
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$34.03
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$45.92
Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+244.8%+$119.28
Will Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (Wicked: For Good) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$55.44
Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$423
Will The Testament of Ann Lee be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$41.72
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30.21
Will Orwell: 2+2=5 be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+61.3%+$86.26
Will Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$25.56
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 93m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+49.3%+$70.29
All 24 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$206.46
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$191.82
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.96
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.57
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.25
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$117.8
Will "Software" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$217.68
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$443.94
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.98
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$23.8
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$214.36
Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.79
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.02
Will Jensen Huang say "FSD" or "Full Self-Driving" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.92
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+334.8%+$244.86
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+426.3%+$213.84
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$95.37
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$27.47
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+41.2%+$64.82
All 19 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.08
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+706.5%+$306.6
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
Will Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$580.32
Will Starmer say "War" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$179.82
Will Hannah Spencer – Green Party finish third in the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$39.82
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$156.67
Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+28.6%+$18.44
Will Keir Starmer say "Denmark" or "Greenland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$20.24
Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+76.5%+$539.05
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$63.75
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30.75
Will Franco Parisi endorse José Antonio Kast for President of Chile?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+233.3%+$97.3
Will Daniel Băluță get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$119.07
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 25% and 30% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+72.4%+$74.76
Will Ciprian Ciucu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.3
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.02
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.32
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.14
Will Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.69
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$32.4
Will Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.75
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$233.7
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+112.3%+$14.28
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$73.43
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.6
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.82
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.36
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.96
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.84
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$122.43
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.2
Will the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+34.1%+$21.86
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.19
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.7
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.58
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.32
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$341.36
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+212.5%+$185.64
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$39.2
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+117.4%+$256.5
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$62.73
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+37%+$15.39
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+61.3%+$33.44
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-78.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.60per pick15cpaid+443.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocksbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.41
San Diego Toreros vs. Pepperdine Wavesbacked San Diego Toreros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$440.55
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-4.5)backed Southern Illinois Salukis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$400.2
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebelsbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+395%+$293.66
All 4 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+41.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+57.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+133.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$232.4
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$410.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+127.3%+$529.2
Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$610.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$59.84
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$378.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$332
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BYU make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$49.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 qualify to MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$488.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.