Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Diego Toreros vs. Pepperdine Waves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ec1df302a4089abc8f277c3059199b2c12848fb93e8afb488d23bca55d4b380
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Torerosof San Diego Toreros, Pepperdine Waves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,134 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8132…a491backed San Diego Toreros | 21c | 2,789$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked Pepperdine Waves | 49c | 1,906$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b32…c8a9backed Pepperdine Waves | 79c | 1,232$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…cfe8backed San Diego Toreros | 51c | 1,136$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…9184backed Pepperdine Waves | 49c | 1,120$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…8919backed San Diego Toreros | 51c | 1,096$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +183.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffa1…15bdbacked San Diego Toreros | 11c | 1,090$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 25cpaid | +377.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7270…add3backed Pepperdine Waves | 79c | 899$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…e61bbacked San Diego Toreros | 21c | 894$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…d0a8backed Pepperdine Waves | 79c | 856$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…aa1abacked San Diego Toreros | 11c | 806$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +209%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…0ab2backed Pepperdine Waves | 49c | 738$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed San Diego Toreros | 51c | 699$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked Pepperdine Waves | 79c | 678$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…dc10backed San Diego Toreros | 21c | 633$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +213.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82e4…fa57backed Pepperdine Waves | 79c | 633$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2103…e296backed San Diego Toreros | 11c | 632$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +603.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…2238backed San Diego Toreros | 11c | 623$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 39cpaid | +430.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e47…db27backed San Diego Toreros | 51c | 607$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked San Diego Toreros | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed San Diego Toreros | 11c | 506$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.53per pick | 27cpaid | +358.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed San Diego Toreros | 11c | 495$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.60per pick | 15cpaid | +443.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b2…9ae2backed San Diego Toreros | 11c | 417$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +431.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…aeb8backed Pepperdine Waves | 79c | 411$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed Pepperdine Waves | 79c | 409$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea5a…e6aebacked San Diego Toreros | 21c | 375$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +156.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…b300backed Pepperdine Waves | 49c | 374$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…0d4cbacked Pepperdine Waves | 79c | 244$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed San Diego Toreros | 11c | 224$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +218.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…c3f1backed San Diego Toreros | 77c | 172.47$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +49%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…5b6bbacked Pepperdine Waves | 79c | 148$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef37…f2bcbacked San Diego Toreros | 21c | 147$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874a…d584backed San Diego Toreros | 21c | 134$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Pepperdine Waves | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…af45backed San Diego Toreros | 11c | 106$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +168.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…edc1backed Pepperdine Waves | 79c | 92$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…3730backed Pepperdine Waves | 79c | 79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbf…7328backed Pepperdine Waves | 79c | 63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…73febacked San Diego Toreros | 77c | 25.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 72cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Diego Toreros | 55c | 24.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.