TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xad46…0918

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Movies, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 58 out of 100; worst Middle East at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.63
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.71
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$517.14
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$284.61
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$405
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.54
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$627.76
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.48
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$77.55
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.78
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.78
Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$103.84
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$124.27
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$64.96
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-76.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.46
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.1
Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.94
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.72
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.76
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$106.72
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$447.36
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$92.52
Will Israel strike 3 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.84
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$87.56
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$13.58
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+70.5%+$332.45
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$514.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+90.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Movies — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.35
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$655.12
Will "One Battle After Another" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$155.6
Will "The Investigation of Lucy Letby" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$94.24
Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$253
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$219.76
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$79.12
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+257.1%+$470.88
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$517.37
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$42.12
Will Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+455.6%+$356.7
Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+222.6%+$379.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-58.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.91
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.16
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$235.95
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.25
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.29
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+61%+$271.24
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.48
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.2
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.44
Will Jensen Huang say "Meta" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.84
Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" 3+ times at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.8
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$205.86
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,362Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$442.6
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$70.5
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$74.8
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+61.8%+$124.91
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$195
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$264.69
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$671.41
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+300%+$66.75
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-49.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$739.83
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.5
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$139.65
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.65
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$135.75
Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be less than 3m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.24
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$70.62
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$90.3
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+98.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.72
San Diego Toreros vs. Pepperdine Wavesbacked San Diego Toreros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$342.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.4
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$244.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$657.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$152.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$196.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$125.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$105.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$76.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$130.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$410.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$544.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leléka win Vidbir 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$201.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.