Movies · resolved market
Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb710eac2308cfb748ba81e1b96d8dc167c16829c4b1e51f3313e5b596516c115
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe590…87bfbacked Yes | 70c | 702$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab9…2ff1backed No | 30c | 580$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed No | 46c | 550$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d09…42b7backed Yes | 54c | 550$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…00e6backed No | 19c | 412$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 15c | 347.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 55 | 5.5%3 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 18c | 330$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 64c | 291.81$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.07 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef37…f2bcbacked Yes | 74c | 256$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…f02dbacked No | 26c | 256$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb1…5c16backed Yes | 57c | 249.14$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xabeb…7a78backed No | 30c | 233$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed No | 17c | 201.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…0d60backed No | 19c | 191$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fb…94e2backed Yes | 77c | 181.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed No | 32c | 180.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 25c | 177.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed Yes | 70c | 155$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed No | 14c | 149.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 55c | 107$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 142 | 40.1%57 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7de…b802backed No | 41c | 95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…0371backed Yes | 67c | 92.19$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 37c | 87.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 13c | 81.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e65…fe79backed Yes | 67c | 74.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf56…ee5fbacked No | 32c | 49.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 77c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…3258backed No | 30c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…59afbacked No | 29c | 43.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb798…7030backed Yes | 57c | 35.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa95d…6a82backed Yes | 76c | 31.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…e036backed Yes | 58c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 56c | 27.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked Yes | 80c | 27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…f566backed Yes | 50c | 23.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…1776backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e7…afd0backed Yes | 80c | 17.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the top global Netflix movie this week?this page
- Will "Kpop Demon Hunters" be the top global Netflix movie this week?No won
- Will "The Investigation of Lucy Letby" be the top global Netflix movie this week?No won
- Will "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.