TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7b23…0d60

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Weather at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$197.47
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$213.72
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.8
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$248.08
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$69.39
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$172.26
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.88
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.02
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$630.75
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.58
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$807Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$806.52
Hezbollah strike on Israel by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.12
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.84
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+97.7%+$304.48
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$120.6
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$214.76
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+42.9%+$116.7
Will Trump say "Think about" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.94
Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+28.2%+$131.12
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+284.6%+$318.94
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.54
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.24
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$265.5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$73.66
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.12
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.98
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$829Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$828.62
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$215.5
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$98.8
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.79
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.82
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.28
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$397.76
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$113.62
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.03
Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$447.92
Will "Stabilization" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$56.1
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$418
Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$265.34
All 20 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$894Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$894.24
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.25
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.6
Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$146.3
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.6
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$312.8
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$623Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$196.8
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.42
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.97
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$57.24
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$302.4
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$490.2
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.4
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.45
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 15-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.7
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win 95 or more seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,475Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,475.2
Will TISZA win 42-46% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.86
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$206.99
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+253.4%+$384.31
Will Starmer say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$159.6
Will Keir Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$206.17
Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$206.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
Will "One Battle After Another" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.36
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.04
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$253.88
Will "Hamnet" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$84.75
Will "Frankenstein" win Best Costume Design at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$754Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+49.3%+$371.25
Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$36.29
Will Train Dreams win Best Feature at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$185.92
All 8 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$13.32
Will Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.6
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.41
Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$395.2
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.26
Will Tommaso Paradiso win Sanremo 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.24
Will Cirkut win 1 Grammy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$184.8
Will "Ego Death At A Bachelorette Party - Hayley Williams" win Best Alternative Music Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$151.58
All 8 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+97.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+172.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+46.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-57.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-43.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anyone's Legend qualify to MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,185Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$666.36
Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$507.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$75.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Headshot" be said 10+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,208Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$302
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD.AI launch a token by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$91.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$45.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.