TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,897
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,897 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes29c1,500$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.769632.3%31 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4883…ce56backed Yes66c1,363$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.581435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc047…c0e6backed No24c1,350$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.341030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ae…8598backed Yes65c1,152$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.82441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x466e…ed99backed No34c1,139$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.741921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-55.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7bd4…c334backed Yes26c1,132$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.32825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf351…6284backed No73c1,012$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.241533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2de8…293cbacked Yes66c1,005$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.31553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes4c933.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.21502.7%4 W · 146 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-49.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc3c…d42ebacked Yes42c840$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.81631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes7c834$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7447938%182 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1cb…933ebacked No35c819$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.352250%11 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcf8…0657backed Yes27c802$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.542462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f68…2238backed No73c776$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.52955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…f285backed No73c735$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.452665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc0c6…b50bbacked Yes76c734$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.842166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b23…0d60backed Yes26c723$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.982040%8 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb976…c213backed Yes27c709$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.431833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0a8…0c57backed Yes66c707$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.621346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad8…9756backed No74c690$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.41127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5544…802abacked No74c674$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.245100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+90.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x646f…23c3backed No58c629$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.181637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef37…f2bcbacked Yes49c611$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.172259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+81.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb671…32d1backed Yes29c605.49$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.59560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3859…7359backed No58c594$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.481250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc7…8211backed Yes27c554$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9778…1d7bbacked No34c524$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.842744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9c…d1bebacked No18c511$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.021931.6%6 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes42c502$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.842857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6578…ba32backed No35c487$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.551952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Yes32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6702…0051backed No34c392$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.722454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+93.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5829…e46bbacked Yes42c389$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.38837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e17…0d52backed No34c381$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.461376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.35per pick42cpaid+122.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc3c9…af45backed No58c373$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.66944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd58c…8954backed Yes4c334$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.362045%9 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c327.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.471,3636.8%93 W · 1,270 L-20.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-59.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ccb…6c69backed No74c327$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.021947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c19…77cdbacked No34c325$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+48.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Yes14c321$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.754266.7%28 W · 14 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xffa1…15bdbacked Yes42c316$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.721353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6906…d8b8backed Yes66c293.35$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc327…31f5backed Yes4c280$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.14022.5%9 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x848d…76c1backed No35c276$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.42540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes5c263.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.982560.8%2 W · 254 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-97.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8401…a498backed No73c259$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.931650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+56.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb82b…dd5fbacked Yes27c259$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.931752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb83e…10fcbacked Yes42c245$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1b2…a321backed No22c225$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.25580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+201.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0ac…990dbacked Yes15c212.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.791450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Yes30c200.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.391428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes8c200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.35545.6%3 W · 51 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-69.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7832…ca08backed Yes8c200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.351435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xccc2…271abacked No18c194$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.081566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+66.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77c9…d567backed No22c192.46$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.231250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes57c189$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9330127.2%82 W · 219 L+1.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe590…87bfbacked Yes65c185$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.251533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ce6…16a3backed Yes8c184.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.311711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-48%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc54d…8be1backed Yes10c184$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f46…01b1backed No58c169$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.981741.2%7 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d17…1e5ebacked No34c167$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.222142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6537…fcecbacked No34c165$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.91145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+54.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf40…38b8backed No64c160.53$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.498650%43 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe102…71dfbacked Yes8c155.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.431060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6789…52f9backed Yes27c153$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.311625%4 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe356…63bcbacked Yes7c149.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.841435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes18c137.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.911867%13 W · 173 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-50.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf40b…7181backed No74c135$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.11361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+90.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf49…6cfebacked No18c133$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.061681.3%13 W · 3 L+4.7wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+101.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x50e8…ac57backed No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.42045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f2…95debacked No58c114$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.881855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+100.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes23c105.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.211752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+56.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed Yes20c101.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.46123%14 W · 47 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf359…2916backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0057…d937backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc79f…e3febacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1090%0 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x563a…f578backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10120%0 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes46c99.61$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.684610.9%5 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-66.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…115ebacked No58c97$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.741741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf96c…9014backed Yes77c96.11$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.11428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-51.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x59c1…67ccbacked No69c92$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-51.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49b1…0f4dbacked Yes27c90$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.981833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d22…da8bbacked No34c89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.742045%9 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes23c85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.551643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6560…e164backed No21c84$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.369040%36 W · 54 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf0d3…8e66backed No37c72.8$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…588ebacked No73c67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.091855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3925…c094backed Yes28c64.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.931844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7786…7914backed No34c59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.94977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick40cpaid+120%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes32c57.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2914423.6%34 W · 110 L-12.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43d7…54a7backed No35c57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.051747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No41c56.3$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0872935.5%259 W · 470 L-57.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No58c56.25$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.631952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+37.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x41d0…a837backed Yes70c54$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc23…8bc9backed Yes80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+64.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145038%19 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+38.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc713…891fbacked No74c49$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.741457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc18f…beb2backed Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbf…afd2backed Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf7…0fa8backed Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.