TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ccb…6c69

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: World Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 57 out of 100; worst Weather at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$44.16
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$119.07
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$483
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$143.75
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$85.02
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$144.1
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.96
Will Craig Federighi be the next CEO of Apple?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.84
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$182.35
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.36
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+400%+$284
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.92
Will "California" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$66.3
Will "Israel" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$58.52
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$77.11
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.05
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.35 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$476.56
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.84
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$463.98
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.59
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.28
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$40.5
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$106.08
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$186.88
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$22.36
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$101.64
Will Israel strike 3 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$63.84
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+488.2%+$356.07
Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+270.4%+$399.31
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$10.08
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$130.4
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$337.61
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$39.9
All 16 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.32
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+88.2%+$496.32
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.69
Will fewer than 70 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$49.91
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will there be at least 1,250 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.24
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$84.27
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,431Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+31.6%+$451.92
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 4 be between 60 and 70?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23.32
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30.16
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+284.6%+$646.02
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$122.76
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$114.6
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.81
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$531.36
Will Margot Robbie attend the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$321.2
Oscars Bingobacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.96
Will The Studio win Best Producer of a TV Comedy Series at the 37th PGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.18
Will Paul Mescal win Best Supporting Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25.3%+$108.47
Will Liz Patrick - SNL50: The Anniversary Special win Best Director of Variety at the 78th DGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$151.92
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+93.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+89.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+63.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick25cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+334.8%+$312.62
Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$247.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.66
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.56
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketballbacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+132.6%+$328.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,345Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$586.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$106.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$270.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Bad Luck vs METANOIAGG (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group Abacked METANOIAGG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$84.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.