Movies · resolved market
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30b8e5f4f3670e9be29c36be3826cbdf86e24b4e71ad7c752bf1f3a072d6da03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf54f…3374backed Yes | 56c | 15,114$8,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,581.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 15c | 11,671$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.63 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…323cbacked No | 28c | 9,607$2,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…0656backed Yes | 67c | 7,967$5,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb08b…4b55backed No | 67c | 7,372$4,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,966.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb19a…3808backed Yes | 58c | 7,292$4,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,058.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…efc7backed No | 42c | 5,684$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…1346backed No | 20c | 5,677$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83e7…f9fdbacked Yes | 57c | 5,344$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 75c | 3,028$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.4 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Yes | 46c | 2,980$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 39c | 2,648$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.76 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed No | 3c | 2,363$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe976…35abbacked Yes | 75c | 2,329$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 25c | 2,289$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.11 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked No | 29c | 2,287$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.4 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…a9e7backed Yes | 29c | 2,203$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked No | 37c | 2,026$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf145…8ecebacked No | 48c | 1,873$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…8f75backed No | 39c | 1,816$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked No | 3c | 1,691$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…bcd3backed Yes | 28c | 1,175$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04f…eeabbacked Yes | 43c | 1,161$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 51c | 1,158$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.77 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 38c | 1,012$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.76 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2b…f025backed No | 54c | 1,004$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117f…088ebacked No | 54c | 992$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.68 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccb…6c69backed No | 54c | 984$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 49c | 969.19$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.67 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d6…40d0backed No | 39c | 947.58$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.13 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…8320backed Yes | 67c | 931.45$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed No | 34c | 921.01$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.87 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68d3…55b0backed No | 58c | 861.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 25c | 851.75$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.05 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed No | 36c | 820$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.95 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Yes | 7c | 783.08$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.11 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2f…7207backed No | 45c | 749.48$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 43c | 726.5$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.89 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked No | 68c | 694.01$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.16 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf317…b22fbacked No | 27c | 684.39$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f7…7c3bbacked Yes | 74c | 680.95$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…2758backed Yes | 30c | 671.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +172%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a88…89f0backed No | 22c | 642.32$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ca…0f21backed No | 48c | 618.25$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.77 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed Yes | 55c | 617.65$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.54 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…5ff7backed No | 29c | 586.74$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…d70dbacked No | 35c | 567.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…9722backed Yes | 68c | 548.32$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85dc…7ebfbacked No | 53c | 535.57$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.48 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a5…d93bbacked No | 35c | 500$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0123…f638backed Yes | 66c | 460.48$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 47c | 432.85$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.12 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae1…9e37backed No | 22c | 411.4$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…35d6backed No | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked No | 61c | 399.06$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked No | 48c | 363$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 17c | 353.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.7 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 30c | 350$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6721…d75bbacked No | 44c | 347.62$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb82…0318backed Yes | 48c | 340$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…550abacked Yes | 47c | 323.03$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…dcd9backed No | 6c | 319.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +7.1wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x325c…ffb9backed No | 44c | 315.14$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9edb…f6f3backed No | 40c | 279.26$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd174…3908backed No | 40c | 270$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…6958backed No | 45c | 268.95$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…dd71backed No | 37c | 261$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe264…60a4backed Yes | 29c | 250$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 21c | 241.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.1 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.25per pick | 29cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 32c | 237.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd05…3b2bbacked No | 40c | 231.53$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc927…be19backed No | 57c | 228.38$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…ca1fbacked No | 40c | 224.79$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc967…8744backed No | 43c | 224.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…83a4backed Yes | 34c | 221.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c3…73fdbacked No | 46c | 218.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…7e51backed No | 44c | 218.32$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b08…5fa9backed No | 36c | 216.82$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 50c | 215.5$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cb…1499backed No | 12c | 214.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed No | 66c | 205.6$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…0fbbbacked No | 45c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…a68cbacked Yes | 36c | 188$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.81 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf25c…732cbacked Yes | 20c | 184.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed No | 54c | 182.28$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ada…aa17backed Yes | 28c | 181.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f0…1e62backed Yes | 31c | 176.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.92 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0285…1471backed No | 65c | 175.27$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a65…5864backed No | 37c | 174.28$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da0…acbabacked No | 47c | 171.25$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…2c75backed No | 48c | 168.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdee…b0d0backed No | 61c | 163.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…91e9backed Yes | 63c | 157.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 50c | 157.65$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.83 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…22d8backed No | 32c | 156.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked Yes | 65c | 153.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7818…d185backed No | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?this page
- Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?No won
- Will Elliot die in Euphoria: Season 3?No won
- Will Ethan Daley die in Euphoria: Season 3?No won
- Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?No won
- Will Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3?No won
- Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?No won
- Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?No won
- Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.