TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb75…f496

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
479
Categories scored
40
Categories below 50
24

Best Category: Golf, grading 80 out of 100 (+0.27 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 80 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT6911.6%8 W · 61 L-0.3wins0.00per pick12cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+532.9%+$104.19
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+441.1%+$267.62
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$381.83
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.18
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.47
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.97
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+1,095.7%+$448.22
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.46
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.46
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT4934.7%17 W · 32 L+11.0wins+0.22per pick12cpaid+159.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
Commodities — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.98
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.35
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $69 Week of June 1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 Week of June 1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$570
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+303.2%+$90.96
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+987%+$163.21
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of May 25 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+1,415.2%+$424.54
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of May 25 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.95
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.39
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+519.5%+$241.45
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$297.35
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$112.85
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$70.07
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 13?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT4415.9%7 W · 37 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.66
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.91
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Apple announce a HomePod mini successor during the WWDC 2026 keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.98
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $17.5B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $41B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$136.66
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+629.2%+$108.53
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.59
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.37
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 750.0k by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.325B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.65
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.75 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.69
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.63
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT429.5%4 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Maluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.06
Will Daddy Yankee perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.01
Will David Guetta perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.34
Will Myke Towers perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
Will Lennart Kahl score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$146.47
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Denmark 2 - 1 Ukraine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.19
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 1 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 0 Guatemala?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.45
Exact Score: Croatia 2 - 0 Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Kosovo 2 - 0 Andorra?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Kosovo leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cyprus leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.13
Aruba leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Chile?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Chile?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Romania 1 - 1 Wales?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.27
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 0 Tunisia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Republic of Ireland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Mexico vs. Serbia: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Mexico leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Iraq?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+449.5%+$134.5
Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 1 Greece?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.67
Exact Score: Sweden 0 - 1 Greece?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2910.3%3 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-45.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Meta (META) finish week of June 1 above $610?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.58
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $270-$275 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $440-$450 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Meta (META) finish week of May 25 above $630?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 25 above $450?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 25 above $215?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.21
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+400%+$120
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $425-$430 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Meta (META) close at $610-$620 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$215 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$76.14
Will Meta (META) close at $610-$620 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $395-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Meta (META) close at $600-$610 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Meta (META) close at <$610 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $275-$280 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Will Meta (META) finish week of April 27 above $610?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of April 27 above $395?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.72
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $280 on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT2814.3%4 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Loren Plotkin" win Tony Honors for Excellence in the Theatre at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.93
Will "Kenn Lubin" win Tony Honors for Excellence in the Theatre at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.95
Will "Ragtime" win Best Revival of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will "The Balusters" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will "Liberation" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.11
Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+1,406.8%+$731.11
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.83
Will "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will "LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will "ONE PIECE" win Best Continuing Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Best Continuing Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Abhishek Sharma as Jinshi (The Apothecary Diaries Season 2) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Hindi) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Tariq Obaid as Taro Sakamoto (SAKAMOTO DAYS) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Arabic) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.32
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.86
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$67.56
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+525%+$157.5
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+619.4%+$185.82
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bhavitha Mandava be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Doja Cat be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT2520%5 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+77.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the July Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.18
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.52
Will Cristiano Sicari win the 2026 Chieti mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+940%+$563.96
Will Union Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Denmark Democrats be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.91
Will Liberal Alliance be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+890.1%+$175.22
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.68
Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.79
Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Seoul have between 110-120mm of precipitation in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.14
Will Seoul have 160mm or more of precipitation in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.84
Will Seoul have between 130-140mm of precipitation in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Seoul have between 150-160mm of precipitation in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.9
Will Seoul have between 140-150mm of precipitation in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.83
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+434.8%+$130.42
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+521.1%+$156.33
Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$345
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2420.8%5 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick9cpaid+307.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.2
Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.67
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+1,391.5%+$627.56
Will Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.37
Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.99
Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.15
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+2,400%+$720
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$470
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+2,400%+$720
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+1,525%+$610
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.11
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 24 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2369.6%16 W · 7 L+12.7wins+0.55per pick14cpaid+387.1%equal weight80+0.27 edge/pick
Golf — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Matt McCarty finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.96
Will Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.4
Will Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+1,084.9%+$748.82
Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.87
Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.91
Will Ben Griffin finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+1,042%+$375.68
Will Chris Gotterup finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+462.1%+$219.3
Will Min Woo Lee finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$150.69
Will Min Woo Lee finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+525%+$139.11
Will Hideki Matsuyama finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$115.58
Will Hideki Matsuyama finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+525%+$157.5
Will Rickie Fowler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$170
Will Rickie Fowler finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+644.3%+$353.99
Will Rickie Fowler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+400%+$120
Will Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$132.27
Will Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+525%+$64.68
Will Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$96.2
Will Nicolai Hojgaard finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+350.5%+$105.13
Will Collin Morikawa finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$117.11
Will Bryson DeChambeau finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$100.43
Will Michael Kim finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Maverick McNealy finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1915.8%3 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+84.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$164.89
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$354.86
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$161.78
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.64
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 19 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT195.3%1 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick10cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$398.57
Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.9% and 2.2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.9% and 1.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.63
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 19 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Alex Palou win the 2026 Indianapolis 500?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.94
Will David Malukas win the 2026 Indianapolis 500?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Felix Rosenqvist win the 2026 Indianapolis 500?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick13cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hanwha Life Esports make a roster change before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.59
Will T1 make a roster change before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.77
Will Anyone's Legend qualify to MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+525%+$63
Will Conviction win NACL 2026 Spring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+612.7%+$280.91
Will Winthrop University win NACL 2026 Spring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.31
Will BNK FEARX qualify to MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.43
Will Dorado Gaming win NACL 2026 Spring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Will Citadel Gaming win NACL 2026 Spring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.41
Will Apex Mission Impossible win NACL 2026 Spring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.53
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Jack Ellison be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.98
Will Leo Zacky advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.24
Will Ryan Tillman advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.91
Will Tony Thurmond advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.47
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Ralph Alvarado be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.46
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Stanton buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.46
Will Macklemore (Benjamin Hammond Haggerty) buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.11
Will Tim Cook buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.6
Will Mark Zuckerberg buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.44
Will Marshawn Lynch buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.87
Will Larry Ellison buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.61
Will Steve Ballmer buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+420.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+471.4%+$63.55
Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
Will Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+636.3%+$244.25
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.74
Will "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be between 350k and 375k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Doors - Noah Kahan" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$189.17
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$194.75
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+400%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick13cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick6cpaid+733.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+415.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+930.9%+$279.27
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,150%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$345
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Massimiliano Allegri be the next manager of SSC Napoli?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Damac Saudi Club 1 - 0 Al Fayha Saudi Club?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tundra Esports qualify for the DreamLeague Season 29 Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will G2 Esports win VCT 2026: Americas League Stage 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Saint-Etienne achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will João Fonseca win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GAIS win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.