World Politics · resolved market
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d6088a604e583b280cfea2ab4a646d0f89b446f2e13cf440694735da7e697f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcee6…ed47backed Yes | 17c | 4,648$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,852.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +483.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…d65fbacked Yes | 9c | 3,926$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,559.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +971.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 74c | 2,843$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.73 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed Yes | 40c | 2,186$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.39 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 21c | 1,911$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.6 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc975…2c68backed Yes | 56c | 1,670$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +241.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d0…9e65backed Yes | 22c | 1,601$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +416.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0a…90d8backed Yes | 27c | 1,547$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +264.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…468dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,431$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -77%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 24c | 1,121$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.97 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3768backed Yes | 54c | 998.13$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.52 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 76c | 973.7$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.91 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…269bbacked Yes | 13c | 882.04$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.08 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…69a3backed Yes | 12c | 825.49$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +189.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ba…84ccbacked Yes | 27c | 817.92$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 55c | 780.12$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x322b…8743backed No | 80c | 749.06$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 75cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 52c | 709.7$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.7 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 68c | 606.31$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.5 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…85a2backed Yes | 40c | 598.49$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 25c | 593.52$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.82 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…69b7backed Yes | 27c | 589.56$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.25 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24b…c559backed Yes | 8c | 562.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 73c | 545$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.52 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 75c | 526.13$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.18 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1f…5868backed Yes | 16c | 515.63$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 11cpaid | +160.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 80c | 470$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.2 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed No | 79c | 469.25$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.85 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fe…4474backed Yes | 37c | 444.41$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.54 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -56%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed Yes | 36c | 429.47$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.23 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9634…aae2backed Yes | 15c | 422.57$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10c3…db1dbacked No | 73c | 410$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 17c | 399.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.98 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9c…8f2fbacked Yes | 7c | 384.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,239%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2708…108cbacked Yes | 28c | 376.39$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 77c | 362.9$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.79 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…e621backed Yes | 22c | 356.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.53 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes | 38c | 337.24$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.09 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +18.2wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcc49…e883backed No | 75c | 333.04$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 58c | 320$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.65 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…6271backed Yes | 52c | 315.18$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.89 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 31c | 300$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc281…e079backed Yes | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…2d33backed No | 72c | 298$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.46 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365c…f855backed Yes | 34c | 294.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +195%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d0…2a3abacked Yes | 15c | 275.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +225.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3d…2ff5backed Yes | 35c | 269.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.1 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…f340backed Yes | 19c | 260$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +425.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 24c | 252.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +15.2wins | +0.28per pick | 31cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 56c | 243.55$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.39 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 75c | 223.42$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.91 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbd…1288backed No | 44c | 223$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…583fbacked No | 6c | 209.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6f…0e5fbacked Yes | 56c | 200$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 70c | 192.37$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.3 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed Yes | 16c | 189$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.76 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Yes | 16c | 186.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.33 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…a658backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1653…384bbacked Yes | 28c | 170.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 74c | 168.22$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.48 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 30c | 166$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.74 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +8.0wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +105%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed Yes | 39c | 164$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +8.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…f1d8backed Yes | 64c | 155$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 13c | 153.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 79c | 147.85$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.45 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 147.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.88 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 72c | 143.66$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcab5…4bddbacked Yes | 33c | 142.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 80c | 139$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.95 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef6…41afbacked Yes | 37c | 136.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.49 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked No | 44c | 134$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x936a…7a5abacked Yes | 26c | 130.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 21c | 129.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.98 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22dc…7b11backed No | 16c | 128.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfa…8d86backed Yes | 32c | 116.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x235b…db92backed Yes | 26c | 114.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…8081backed Yes | 15c | 110.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +302.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…f66fbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.30per pick | 11cpaid | +459.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…560ebacked Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 42c | 99.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…83c7backed Yes | 57c | 99.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 19c | 96.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 24c | 95.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.06 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 76c | 95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 72c | 93.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…b27ebacked Yes | 16c | 92.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +282%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…5228backed Yes | 42c | 81.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +259.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 16c | 81.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 77c | 80$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 77.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2f…febabacked Yes | 41c | 73.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 58c | 70.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b3…c439backed No | 49c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 29c | 57.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked Yes | 75c | 53.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?this page
- Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?No won
- Will Michele Boldrin win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.