TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3129…22ed

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
388
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Premier League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 60 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT12746.5%59 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 127 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.19
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.49
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Athletics vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Athletics vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$62.86
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$13.36
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$461.54
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$34.03
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 127 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT7552%39 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.44
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.75
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.79
Will Kon Knueppel lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.6
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.8
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$135.41
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$26.66
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$49.21
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.46
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$62.25
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$49.15
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.63
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
Suns vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.56
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.61
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$67.95
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$45.77
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.06
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$299
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.42
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.08
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$102.68
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+101%+$101.01
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.04
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+42.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,599Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,599.15
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,844Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$958.5
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.9
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$13.53
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$712Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+182.3%+$1,297.47
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.95
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$50.07
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$118.4
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win between 80 and 89 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$97.9
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+187.8%+$401.52
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+1,463%+$512.06
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+58.8%+$47.36
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.92
All 20 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+94%+$54.68
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.3
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$20.19
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+137.8%+$93.7
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+119.5%+$15.7
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$49.05
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.47
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.51
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$44.34
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-69.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NCAA Tournament: Player to record triple-double?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.42
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Nebraska win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will UCLA win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Vanderbilt win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Santa Clara win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Coppin State Eagles vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked Coppin State Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+40%+$40.03
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$50
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+72.3%+$28.93
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+156.4%+$34.41
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+37%+$26.63
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-70.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-76%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+124.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-67.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-67.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$81.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$41.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+43.8%+$335.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$342
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wealthfront IPO in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$33.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$42.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.