TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, San Diego Padres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$587,717
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$595,041

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $587,717 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe54…41d6backed Los Angeles Dodgers70c88,782$61,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,027.055149%25 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Los Angeles Dodgers69c82,871$57,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,690.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked San Diego Padres29c49,494$14,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,528.921,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres31c47,428$14,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,931.734,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres29c46,385$13,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,224.0210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres31c19,415$6,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,098.7611,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Los Angeles Dodgers64c15,164$9,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,458.9523255.6%129 W · 103 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres31c14,858$4,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,601.576,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres22c14,124$3,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,171.3695045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c13,666$7,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,888.821,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked San Diego Padres44c12,902$5,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,676.7771650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Los Angeles Dodgers56c12,500$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,499.995743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Los Angeles Dodgers56c12,500$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,499.9736246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked San Diego Padres31c11,400$3,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,532.73050%15 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c11,043$6,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,969.253,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed San Diego Padres21c9,960$2,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,084.81,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers71c9,469$6,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,778.5112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed San Diego Padres30c8,864$2,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,663.674,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed San Diego Padres7c8,168$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.8623351.1%119 W · 114 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked San Diego Padres30c6,573$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9739953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed San Diego Padres15c6,542$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.2116355.8%91 W · 72 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres30c6,373$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.798,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked San Diego Padres19c6,206$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.887642.1%32 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked San Diego Padres11c6,159$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.3714724.5%36 W · 111 L-0.3wins0.00per pick25cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed San Diego Padres32c6,155$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9938551.4%198 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed San Diego Padres44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2001,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres44c4,611$2,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,028.731,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Los Angeles Dodgers60c4,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60012255.7%68 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Los Angeles Dodgers79c3,862$3,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.4698149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Dodgers61c3,725$2,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.824,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres39c3,668$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.024,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed San Diego Padres31c3,634$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.5973949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked San Diego Padres44c3,489$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.4137348.3%180 W · 193 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres10c3,485$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.52,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed San Diego Padres31c3,191$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.2179255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed San Diego Padres31c3,147$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.681,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers71c2,865$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.492,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed San Diego Padres12c2,828$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.313225%33 W · 99 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed San Diego Padres44c2,251$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00066050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed San Diego Padres15c1,841$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.5979442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked San Diego Padres21c1,831$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.035,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5400…8a89backed San Diego Padres8c1,806$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140681.5%1 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-81.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Los Angeles Dodgers52c1,757$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.192642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc30b…b9dbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers56c1,744$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.62152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed San Diego Padres31c1,612$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.6997050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers67c1,605$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.54742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres42c1,579$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.231,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x98e1…3241backed Los Angeles Dodgers58c1,552$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.389644.8%43 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed San Diego Padres31c1,481$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.241,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked San Diego Padres73c1,339$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.6830040.7%122 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52de…8f92backed San Diego Padres23c1,288$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014469.4%100 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres45c1,266$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.58,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49d6…ea7bbacked San Diego Padres12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010913.8%15 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick14cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed San Diego Padres44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Los Angeles Dodgers56c1,071$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.4318860.1%113 W · 75 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c1,050$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.4824639%96 W · 150 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed San Diego Padres24c1,009$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.244,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44085952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked San Diego Padres43c998.18$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.221,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed San Diego Padres31c967.13$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.811,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed San Diego Padres18c954.53$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.0654715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres21c918.75$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.478,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5220…96ddbacked Los Angeles Dodgers80c913.65$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.733743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Los Angeles Dodgers25c860$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.23636.1%13 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+62.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed San Diego Padres50c811$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.9394555.2%522 W · 423 L+31.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers56c800.02$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.136,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres15c785.9$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.891,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9b9…04f6backed San Diego Padres11c779.44$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.583828.9%11 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a5a…597abacked San Diego Padres12c775.37$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.878729.9%26 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9f…a024backed Los Angeles Dodgers21c752.19$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.23425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba4…9e2dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers17c750$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.51315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked San Diego Padres33c700$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2317545.3%34 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed San Diego Padres21c699.05$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.141,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed San Diego Padres31c689.35$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2135538.2%21 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked San Diego Padres31c641.61$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0840447.8%193 W · 211 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked San Diego Padres45c617.21$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+33.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed San Diego Padres13c580$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.083,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed San Diego Padres31c579.83$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.751,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed San Diego Padres11c575.96$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.842,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7693…470fbacked San Diego Padres45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25021354.5%116 W · 97 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Los Angeles Dodgers55c550$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24815848.1%76 W · 82 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed San Diego Padres32c543.68$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.241,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b4b…94d4backed San Diego Padres45c543.09$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.3925155.4%139 W · 112 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed San Diego Padres43c532.96$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.1777951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed San Diego Padres46c511.62$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.3452228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc1be…d4acbacked San Diego Padres43c469.68$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.968446.4%39 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked San Diego Padres46c464.16$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.5291252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed San Diego Padres44c455$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.21,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7772…0e56backed San Diego Padres44c453.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7420848.6%101 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Los Angeles Dodgers56c436.08$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.882,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed San Diego Padres44c425$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1871,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed San Diego Padres9c422.22$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers77c415.14$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.613361.7%82 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed San Diego Padres43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17234648.6%168 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca2…03cfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17620843.3%90 W · 118 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked San Diego Padres20c386.73$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1679147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed San Diego Padres44c375.77$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.281,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ed…0adfbacked San Diego Padres31c371.01$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0124657.3%141 W · 105 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed San Diego Padres35c369.58$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.086,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6417951.4%92 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.