TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb272…5030

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
821
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT36246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 362 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,173.51
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$4,700
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,445Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,445.23
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,300
San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,402Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,401.67
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$88.12
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,179.92
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,159Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,158.97
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,094Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,093.84
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,300
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,262Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,262.08
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,787Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,786.64
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$7,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,250
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,700Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$5,300
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$5,100
Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,100
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,450
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,716Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$5,277.09
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankeesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$7,499.98
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,500
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,554Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$5,135.08
Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.35
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,375Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$7,125
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$7,249.97
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,287Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,286.69
Showing 25 of 362 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT21937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 219 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12,550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+696.8%+$87,450
France vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$17,600
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$5,499.96
France vs. England: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,016Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$19,305.65
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$7,499.99
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,119.41
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,475
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+300%+$7,500
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,475
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$5,300
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$2,849.98
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+359.8%+$7,824.99
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$9,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,600
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.7
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,999.98
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,987Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,987.48
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,599.92
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,987Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,987.47
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,025.33
France to score first vs. Morocco?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.07
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$5,200
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,175
France vs. Morocco: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,795Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,795.37
Showing 25 of 219 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT14443.8%63 W · 81 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 144 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$7,699.97
Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$9,899.83
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$337.09
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoebacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,300
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,266Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,265.65
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,375Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$7,125
Cincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$9,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,199.95
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$5,800
Cincinnati Open: Quentin Halys vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,346Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$576.89
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$7,800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$12,199.99
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$7,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,125
Cincinnati Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,500
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,436Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,435.72
Cincinnati Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zhengbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$7,926Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,926.01
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakisbacked Thanasi Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,829Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,828.85
Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$8,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,125
Cincinnati Open: Titouan Droguet vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$4,799.98
Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,700
Cincinnati Open: Sebastian Baez vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,875Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$7,624.99
Cincinnati Open: Coleman Wong vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$661.48
Cincinnati Open: Caty McNally vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,499.99
Cincinnati Open: Zachary Svajda vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,550Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$9,450
National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$507.64
Cincinnati Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$203.56
Showing 25 of 144 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$5,000
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 187.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,923Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+103.1%+$5,077.35
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,522Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$4,521.95
Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 161.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,478Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,478.06
Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 162.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,650
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,816Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,816.08
Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 182.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,625Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,624.87
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$4,899.96
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,865Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,864.95
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,025Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$2,475
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 193.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,544Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$3,838.92
Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,419Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,419.23
Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,600
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,725Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$2,774.97
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 182.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,399.99
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,054.66
Chicago Sky vs. New York Libertybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,394.53
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 177.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,600
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wingsbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,696Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$2,641.24
Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,099.97
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$4,600
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$2,799.99
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$7,250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$5,249.99
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffsbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$99.56
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)backed Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,500
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsbacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,500.02
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs ENJOY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Abacked ENJOY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$951.66
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,900
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Bebop (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Bbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,147Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$673.83
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,072Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$714.58
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,650Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$2,849.98
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$648.43
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Phantom (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 10backed Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,600
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,325Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$5,174.98
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$2,999.97
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,536Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,536.21
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,201Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$2,069.12
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffsbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$3,172.38
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$4,499.97
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffsbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,950Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$2,549.99
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.45
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$5,000
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$7,249.94
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,683Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,683.38
All 25 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$5,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,200
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Gillian Robertson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,693Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,693.32
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kamaru Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,475
UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Christian Leroy Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$7,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$2,699.96
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Franco vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Felipe Franco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$3,000
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$4,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,900
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,399.98
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cory Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,302.65
UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Cody Garbrandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,200
UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Kai Kamaka III · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,250
UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Damian Pinas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$3,000
UFC 329: Cody Durden vs. Alessandro Costa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Cody Durden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,474.99
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$5,200
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,000
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+102%+$10,100
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick5cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12,272Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+1,002.9%+$123,080.87
Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.62
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$2,554Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,553.91
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.85
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10,963Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,962.71
Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.14
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$659.61
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.17
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,385.25
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,118.73
All 12 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+59.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$7,499.99
Will Racing Club win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,375
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,999.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.