TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Racing Club win on 2026-08-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$459,272
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$466,092

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $459,272 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ad7…42aabacked Yes57c265,531$151,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,760.772948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No50c78,872$39,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,609.452,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes27c40,241$10,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,677.422,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No67c39,580$26,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,202.078,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c35,374$16,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,574.465,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed Yes53c30,000$16,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,999.957950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed No42c29,522$12,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,211.391040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No47c16,211$7,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,568.691,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed No40c12,500$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed No40c12,500$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,499.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No44c11,057$4,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,223.512755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No43c9,813$4,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,593.5319742.1%83 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa36f…180bbacked Yes54c9,250$5,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,037.492740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No45c7,730$3,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,232.491,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked No47c7,125$3,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7451643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No64c6,726$4,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,443.163,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No45c6,634$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,624.51,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed No46c6,530$3,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,526.23073.3%22 W · 8 L+7.0wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+55.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0570…465ebacked No45c6,413$2,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,527.142759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked No47c6,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1804047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No47c6,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1807556%42 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked No46c6,000$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2701984.2%16 W · 3 L+5.2wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+54.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No47c5,430$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,878.1319952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x995f…be04backed No42c5,250$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,045666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes40c5,232$2,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,076.6423733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No45c5,200$2,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,839.411,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No44c4,147$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,325.0231039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…b67dbacked No46c4,000$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1801241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d5…d5eabacked No41c3,520$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,076.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+85.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked No80c3,023$2,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.31435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes52c2,853$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.4134747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Yes53c2,623$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.071838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No46c2,500$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3556243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No42c2,300$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32416160.9%98 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6129…0807backed No42c2,184$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+101%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No75c2,113$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.041,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005248.1%25 W · 27 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+10.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No46c1,568$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.7222457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b4…9fc9backed No40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No44c1,217$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.172,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No46c1,095$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5861,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed No44c1,019$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.1116449.4%81 W · 83 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No45c1,000$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5552665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5303652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6004431.8%14 W · 30 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked No45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5508554.1%46 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Yes59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5904040%16 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No44c975$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54642962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No46c962$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.871,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Yes53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No46c867.23$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.310146.5%47 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No44c757.57$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.2427549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes24c714.09$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.7675240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No46c695.6$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.1957540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes58c638.7$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.4411039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006827.9%19 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No44c606.05$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.3927349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32424053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd08b…b74cbacked No44c599.99$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3391952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90fe…b7b8backed No44c555.84$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.27450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No61c552$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.8972058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No44c539.51$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.031,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked No46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2706550.8%33 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked No41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.81675%12 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No42c487.8$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.922556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No45c468.65$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.752,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No73c452.46$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4795155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No73c431.4$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4560156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No41c420.4$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.125955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No44c407.03$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.285855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21619559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No45c398$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.9930754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5abe…84cebacked Yes53c396.23$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21090%0 W · 9 L-4.3wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No42c387.3$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.646759.7%40 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fe3…ca9dbacked No79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b32…3566backed No59c363.22$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.711872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked No43c348.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.847843.6%34 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed No43c348.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.849244.6%41 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed No69c326.22$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4412662.7%79 W · 47 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes39c322.14$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12619543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No65c279.52$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8763061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Yes44c262.82$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11617051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Yes54c222.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209148.4%44 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed No76c218.13$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.074542.2%19 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No67c213.17$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7741262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked No65c212.69$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7826465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x381c…c62dbacked No43c209$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.131030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-47.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes57c202.92$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.318050%90 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No46c200$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10923551.5%121 W · 114 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10824956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3947…63a5backed No47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1062755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10821358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11018358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11028851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10823056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed No43c196.26$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.874850%24 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.