TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x332e…fd5d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
298
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1227.4%9 W · 113 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick8cpaid+43.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 122 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$488.24
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.17
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.57
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.51
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.18
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.58
Showing 25 of 122 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6018.3%11 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Enzo Fernández: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
England vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.31
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.2
France vs. Spain: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.43
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.78
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.6
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$326.32
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT3910.3%4 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-48.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 410m and 420m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 380m and 390m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 420m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 400m and 410m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 390m and 400m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 370m and 380m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.43
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$306
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$226
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 310m and 320m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$488
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 320m and 330m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 330m and 340m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 290m and 300m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.1
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 162m and 167m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$57.74
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$253.21
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$140.15
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$497.75
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$377.56
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$217
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT2917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.27
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.4
Will CF América win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$176.4
Exact Score: Mirassol FC 1 - 0 CR Flamengo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$242.82
Will Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.4
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$299
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Atlante FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.98
Will Racing Club win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+152%+$303.91
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-07-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-07-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-07-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$486
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$189
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-07-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick9cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick17cpaid+162.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+160.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$976.47
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$101.54
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austin FC win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.35
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$146
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$60
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$734.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$216.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$128.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.