Mls · resolved market
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c7f195e61ce9cd18f12effd69b90ad7c16d4ca15632496be9fc404d43932ae8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $571,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $590,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $571,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed Yes | 41c | 428,046$175,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252,430.58 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 57c | 179,218$102,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,909.29 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 80,024$46,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,831.56 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 58c | 22,449$13,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,061.99 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 60c | 20,662$12,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,429.21 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 29c | 18,682$5,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,489.79 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 16,200$9,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,720 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 15,862$9,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,410.14 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 7,617$4,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,417.86 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 60c | 7,560$4,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,528.65 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 64c | 7,379$4,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,756.5 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 17c | 7,035$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.11 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 75c | 5,673$4,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,269.36 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 42c | 4,354$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.06 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 58c | 4,326$2,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.04 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked No | 23c | 4,287$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 19c | 3,807$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.56 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9532…0af8backed No | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 59c | 3,305$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.12 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 60c | 3,032$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.91 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…4803backed No | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed No | 59c | 2,927$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.79 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 58c | 2,595$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.8 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Yes | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.97 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 59c | 2,185$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.88 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 79c | 2,175$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.59 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…9b48backed No | 77c | 2,100$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 59c | 2,071$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.26 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Yes | 42c | 2,060$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.64 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked No | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked No | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 59c | 1,613$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.64 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 60c | 1,568$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.8 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 77c | 1,426$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.12 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +197%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…8c14backed No | 59c | 1,275$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 60c | 1,262$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.51 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 60c | 1,250$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.93 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 58c | 1,241$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 1,165$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.48 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 59c | 1,136$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.12 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed No | 60c | 1,096$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.14 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 60c | 1,079$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.63 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 60c | 912.86$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.72 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Yes | 58c | 908.35$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.84 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 59c | 905$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.66 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 58c | 894.41$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.76 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…54f5backed Yes | 21c | 879.62$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 62c | 867.09$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.59 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 59c | 862$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.68 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 59c | 797.05$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.49 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 69c | 795.83$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.71 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 62c | 784.66$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.54 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 12c | 750$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…54a7backed Yes | 80c | 734.96$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 59c | 699.68$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.11 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 38c | 665$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.78 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 59c | 633.56$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.98 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 60c | 631.36$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.25 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 10c | 630.62$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.39 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 59c | 628$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.42 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc303…8129backed No | 59c | 625.61$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 60c | 623$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.38 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 60c | 623$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.38 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed No | 58c | 614.69$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.13 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed No | 20c | 611.1$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.05 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 610.43$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.57 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed No | 58c | 517$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked No | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 80c | 446.07$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.21 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 42c | 440.48$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.48 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 62c | 403.22$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 18c | 382.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.18 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 33c | 364.9$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.47 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 59c | 345.63$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 67c | 342.13$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.07 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 60c | 323.53$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.49 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 61c | 303.85$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.85 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 59c | 298.68$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.71 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 58c | 276$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.08 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked No | 59c | 254.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.02 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 31c | 232.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.69 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 10c | 216.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.86 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…3566backed No | 59c | 208$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?No won
- Will New York City FC win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.