Mls · resolved market
Will New York City FC win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x394faeb9877b15aa5acd07122b0c9755036c6ec6e61067914c70ea48aa6761e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $276,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $275,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 66c | 93,658$61,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,843.79 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 31,235$10,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,658.9 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed No | 65c | 22,836$14,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,992.77 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Yes | 34c | 22,131$7,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,524.49 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 34c | 14,172$4,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,858.85 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 31c | 11,915$3,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,189.03 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 35c | 9,069$3,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,156.46 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes | 69c | 7,500$5,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,175 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 37c | 7,500$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.99 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 51c | 7,228$3,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,694.92 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 79c | 6,892$5,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,413.25 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 80c | 6,891$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 16c | 6,554$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.85 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 34c | 5,979$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.88 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 32c | 5,808$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,959.44 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7fd6backed Yes | 5c | 5,581$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 34c | 4,866$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.92 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…55d4backed Yes | 66c | 4,444$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 76c | 4,422$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360.94 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 20c | 4,348$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,461.3 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed No | 27c | 4,020$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.12 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 61c | 3,635$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.84 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 38c | 2,866$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.17 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 72c | 2,383$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.15 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 34c | 2,151$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.42 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,769$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 24c | 1,600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 24c | 1,600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 40c | 1,583$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.53 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 36c | 1,520$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.3 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 66c | 1,488$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.16 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 78c | 1,464$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.33 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 1,309$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.61 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 44c | 1,176$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.15 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 31c | 1,169$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.59 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed No | 66c | 1,129$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.82 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 71c | 1,115$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.46 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 16c | 1,111$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.67 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 34c | 1,101$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.57 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Yes | 52c | 1,011$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 35c | 950.9$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.41 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 42c | 939.14$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.98 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked No | 23c | 843.93$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 43c | 839.94$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.35 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 66c | 814.07$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 58c | 811$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.62 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 22c | 772.75$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.74 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 63c | 733.91$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.55 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 35c | 732.23$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.85 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 21c | 691.22$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.75 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 43c | 652.77$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.68 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked No | 52c | 648.49$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.15 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 34c | 634.07$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.28 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 36c | 583.68$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.61 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…54a7backed Yes | 67c | 577.21$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 34c | 565.06$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.75 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked Yes | 66c | 530.3$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 63c | 461$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.93 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 34c | 454.9$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.34 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 44c | 450$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 73c | 450$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.3 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4849…767fbacked Yes | 34c | 423.91$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 43c | 349.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 35c | 345.35$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.97 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 76c | 334.9$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 34c | 324.06$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.58 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 66c | 320.69$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.03 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 79c | 300$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.49 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed No | 33c | 300$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 62c | 296.69$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.57 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 77c | 277$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.29 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…1c06backed No | 37c | 267.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 58c | 262.32$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.02 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 34c | 258$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 250.87$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.37 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed No | 76c | 232.84$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 50c | 217$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.74 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Yes | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 56c | 204.8$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.22 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 77c | 200.29$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.22 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…09f1backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +197%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 37c | 198.28$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.26 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Yes | 36c | 192.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 77c | 190.25$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 43c | 173.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.91 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131c…6816backed No | 63c | 169.66$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 36c | 166.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.68 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed No | 66c | 162.9$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed No | 67c | 149$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…ffc3backed Yes | 34c | 149$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 65c | 148.66$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…bd81backed No | 24c | 147.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 20c | 143.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 22c | 141.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New York City FC win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?No won
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.