TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5b32…3566

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Asian League at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$15.1
Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.6
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.42
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$12.14
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.96
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$3.09
Will CF América win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$64.93
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$12.9
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+75%+$51.86
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$9.75
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$16.54
Will CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+137.8%+$18.54
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$31.27
Will CA Banfield win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$127.84
Will Racing Club win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$149.71
Will Racing Club vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.94
All 18 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.8wins-0.30per pick61cpaid-56.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Asian League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.9
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$19.49
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.82
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.74
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.44
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.45
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.34
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$5.3
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Will FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Gamba Ōsaka end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+27%+$3.83
All 16 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+39%+$5.61
Will Erzurumspor FK win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$8.85
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$3.95
Will FC København win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.2
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$6.42
Will Lyngby BK vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.98
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$14.39
Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.