TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,101
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,708

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,101 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes51c13,112$6,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,425.0131136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes72c12,662$9,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,549.792,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No32c8,934$2,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,867.498,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes52c8,672$4,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,153.2749136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked No50c5,000$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,479.991643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x298b…f406backed Yes54c4,578$2,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,105.78850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes53c3,900$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,83311855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No41c3,419$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.485,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed No48c3,262$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.823073.3%22 W · 8 L+7.0wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+55.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No49c3,200$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56834747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked No27c3,171$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.231435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No48c3,029$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.011,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No32c2,655$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.731,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No49c2,489$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.761,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No18c2,398$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.4913748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes51c2,191$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No17c2,141$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.7257540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No47c1,933$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.381,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No18c1,930$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.8911143.2%48 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No48c1,816$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.8617049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No34c1,741$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.7575240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No22c1,673$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.816412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb66e…47c5backed No18c1,647$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.291838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked No17c1,446$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.783842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No48c1,349$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.0418050%90 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No48c1,280$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.4422457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No49c972.54$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.1719952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Yes52c892.26$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.758746%40 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No38c833.36$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.421,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No47c754.66$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed No50c754.26$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.132937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Yes53c723.91$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.246762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes53c678$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.664770.2%33 W · 14 L+9.7wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+34.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Yes51c650$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.52347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes52c633.58$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.182,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Yes49c602.04$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.046058.3%35 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28824053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No49c563.99$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.367060%42 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed No18c555.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Yes52c464.05$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.743444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked No50c420$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2107463.5%47 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007332.9%24 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No49c400$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.619651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No48c399.99$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19219559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa92b…a4dcbacked Yes53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.361163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes53c338.61$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.537843.6%34 W · 44 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No19c337.3$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0919437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd59…da8ebacked Yes76c328.94$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.953447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No10c328$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0521938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No18c301.18$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4451945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Yes51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1474443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No33c299.15$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.369453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d1…c0f2backed Yes53c276.96$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.17771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No48c266.92$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.121,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked No19c256.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506624.2%16 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick15cpaid+312.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes71c244.74$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.974456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No17c223.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9882434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9503…1fd2backed No28c210$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.31546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick28cpaid+75.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed No49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Yes53c203.87$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.872846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No20c200.22$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7136339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd296…084dbacked Yes49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9624956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9621358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9418358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9428851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9623056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Yes49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10217051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d29…65e7backed Yes52c199.97$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.992250%11 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+62.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes59c199.61$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.754351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No18c193.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0137540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42e7…d4ccbacked Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3176951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked No47c190$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.36038.3%23 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed No49c181$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.697445.9%34 W · 40 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No17c175.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3412740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes53c169.81$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.811353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No10c168.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7650643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No49c164.24$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.487856.4%44 W · 34 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes58c162.63$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.961,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x17f7…4f7cbacked No13c159.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick34cpaid+105.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No48c156$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8815359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.555946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes78c148$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4424535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes51c137.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.251,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No48c119.98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5910352.4%54 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No48c115.14$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.272,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Yes52c105.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.776665.2%43 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No41c105.23$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5895155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes53c103.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.091,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed Yes51c102.51$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.235648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked No50c102$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7589645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5783…429dbacked Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xff1f…4324backed Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55f5…1e72backed Yes54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Yes51c92.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.842236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe752…96fbbacked Yes73c92.42$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.951266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.