TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb66e…47c5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
171
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT13750.4%69 W · 68 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 137 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$151
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$128.18
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$4,955.45
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,095.2
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.52
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$996Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+114.7%+$1,142.29
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$949.98
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$266.65
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.77
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.93
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,832Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$1,474.65
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.74
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.6
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+99%+$990.27
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,565Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,565.32
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.82
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.05
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$79.84
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.73
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+118.5%+$326.8
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$39.03
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$90
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+164.5%+$329.02
Showing 25 of 137 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.03
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.27
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.94
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.29
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.78
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.82
Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.42
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.89
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.46
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.57
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.2
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+110.7%+$303.09
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.6
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.37
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+61.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Iasi Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Clara Burelbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$16.13
Iasi: Pedro Martinez vs Maks Kasnikowskibacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.36
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Chidi Njokuani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.