South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce3ed15f9325d43af5eeecd8e3f7664af23de298afbe61924db58147e867c27f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 22c | 2,945$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,296.64 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 64c | 2,209$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.71 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 1,154$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.15 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 878.66$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 849.06$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.01 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 35c | 624.03$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.42 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 25c | 584.2$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.15 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 25c | 570$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.5 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 502.96$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.22 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…47c5backed No | 29c | 458.23$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.89 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 329.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 19c | 203.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.09 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 187.4$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.55 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked No | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 18c | 162.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 17c | 158.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…b5e5backed Yes | 20c | 149.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…de14backed No | 76c | 114.47$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 25c | 108$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +68%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 25c | 104$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 28c | 103.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5553…490bbacked Yes | 26c | 92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Yes | 23c | 84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.56 | 42 | 81%34 W · 8 L | +12.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 29c | 68.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Yes | 25c | 66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…89c6backed Yes | 78c | 57.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked No | 26c | 56.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 26c | 48.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 25c | 47.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f5…e9abbacked Yes | 76c | 43.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 27c | 37.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 69c | 37.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 80c | 36.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 61c | 35.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 71c | 34.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 32.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 79c | 24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Yes | 71c | 19.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 76c | 14.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 77c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-12?this page
- Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?No won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-08-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.