South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-08-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96c140fd4dae554d0049401e48d2744d61b3f1ed845cae48487fc50f210cbbcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 3,125$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.51 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 56c | 2,974$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.68 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 45c | 2,127$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.14 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 56c | 1,705$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.88 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Yes | 38c | 1,451$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.94 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 56c | 1,397$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.81 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 44c | 1,296$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.24 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 1,040$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.14 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 44c | 989.42$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.34 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 45c | 885.59$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.66 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 28c | 868.17$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.23 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed No | 61c | 701.37$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.9 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedde…0e96backed Yes | 46c | 499.97$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed No | 54c | 399.62$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 42c | 329.02$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.32 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed Yes | 46c | 327.36$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.97 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed No | 54c | 304$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.84 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 56c | 246$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Yes | 47c | 210.89$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 35c | 196$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 62c | 195.26$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.76 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed No | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 52c | 153$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.18 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 45c | 145$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed No | 56c | 128.69$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed No | 61c | 128.2$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed No | 56c | 122.69$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c98…4c85backed No | 64c | 98.94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…b67dbacked No | 56c | 92.47$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f5…e9abbacked No | 77c | 90.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 44c | 85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 53c | 73.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 72.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…b5e5backed Yes | 36c | 70.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 47c | 66.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5403…edd5backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 64c | 55.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 46c | 54.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 54c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf51…7cccbacked No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 54c | 34.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 65c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 56c | 28.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 53c | 28.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…56b1backed No | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 51c | 24.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cd…02aebacked No | 64c | 23.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5783…429dbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 54c | 19.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-08-12?this page
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-12?Yes won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.