TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xedde…0e96

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Valorant, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 53 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorantlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.99
Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,171.8
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$585
Valorant: TYLOO vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$257.99
Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.99
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.99
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
Valorant: G2 Esports vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$250
Valorant: Cloud9 vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$760
Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs G2 Gozen (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffsbacked G2 Gozen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$390
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$859.97
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$336
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$340
Valorant: Joblife vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$660
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$239
Valorant: Team Secret vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$294.95
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$310
Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Valorant: Team Envy vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$610
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$23
Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,185Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,431.06
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$884Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$883.99
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$849Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$640.69
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Platense win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.99
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GKS GieKSa Katowice win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$323.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.