Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b004edca54b3c30dc7739f24dd9354c93f36bee9945494e83cd7c6dabd5eb75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JD Gamingof Nova Esports, JD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c23…cab3backed Nova Esports | 69c | 10,183$7,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,026.53 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked JD Gaming | 31c | 7,055$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,874.98 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed Nova Esports | 14c | 3,600$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.19 | 322 | 45.7%147 W · 175 L | +52.2wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…fb9abacked Nova Esports | 48c | 3,064$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed JD Gaming | 28c | 2,900$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.2 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…cea7backed Nova Esports | 70c | 2,627$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.05 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -48%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…43f3backed JD Gaming | 31c | 2,419$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.35 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed JD Gaming | 29c | 2,008$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.49 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed JD Gaming | 31c | 1,669$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.23 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked JD Gaming | 55c | 1,607$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.87 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Nova Esports | 71c | 1,559$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.91 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Nova Esports | 67c | 1,490$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.99 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nova Esports | 13c | 1,287$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.72 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Nova Esports | 72c | 1,250$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked JD Gaming | 31c | 1,222$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.62 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked Nova Esports | 51c | 1,139$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.02 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed JD Gaming | 29c | 1,126$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.53 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Nova Esports | 72c | 1,069$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8f…25f5backed Nova Esports | 71c | 1,043$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.61 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.5wins | -0.35per pick | 65cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked JD Gaming | 52c | 1,008$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.99 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedde…0e96backed Nova Esports | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Nova Esports | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Nova Esports | 8c | 746$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed JD Gaming | 61c | 655.78$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.67 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed JD Gaming | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed JD Gaming | 30c | 575.49$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.92 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…677ebacked Nova Esports | 69c | 515.88$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.47 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Nova Esports | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed JD Gaming | 30c | 492.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.59 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4806backed Nova Esports | 72c | 479.75$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.09 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed JD Gaming | 31c | 471.77$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.52 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked JD Gaming | 33c | 471.21$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Nova Esports | 45c | 467.43$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.7 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed JD Gaming | 35c | 466.95$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.4 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nova Esports | 72c | 390$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.64 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked JD Gaming | 73c | 382.59$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked JD Gaming | 33c | 379$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.52 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed JD Gaming | 29c | 364.3$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.12 | 136 | 61%83 W · 53 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…2b4dbacked JD Gaming | 58c | 343.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed JD Gaming | 51c | 329.57$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.71 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed JD Gaming | 47c | 322.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.39 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec7…4a76backed Nova Esports | 62c | 318.93$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.17 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed JD Gaming | 34c | 316.45$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +15.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Nova Esports | 67c | 303.97$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.66 | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed JD Gaming | 27c | 287.39$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Nova Esports | 70c | 283.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed JD Gaming | 49c | 258.08$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.54 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed JD Gaming | 31c | 257.77$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.86 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed JD Gaming | 30c | 248.01$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.83 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed JD Gaming | 31c | 222.58$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.58 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed JD Gaming | 58c | 215.13$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…ab72backed Nova Esports | 71c | 208.73$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked Nova Esports | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…8fffbacked Nova Esports | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11e3…22abbacked Nova Esports | 68c | 197.06$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked JD Gaming | 60c | 189.72$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nova Esports | 11c | 187$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Nova Esports | 68c | 176.47$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed JD Gaming | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72da…9b77backed JD Gaming | 30c | 161.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.91 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…56a1backed JD Gaming | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…13e6backed Nova Esports | 64c | 159.57$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Nova Esports | 62c | 158.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked JD Gaming | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Nova Esports | 67c | 149.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Nova Esports | 68c | 148.7$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked JD Gaming | 32c | 146.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…fc2bbacked Nova Esports | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed JD Gaming | 60c | 143.77$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a18…dac8backed Nova Esports | 64c | 140.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked JD Gaming | 52c | 132.13$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked JD Gaming | 28c | 128.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.15 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed JD Gaming | 30c | 121.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.21 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked JD Gaming | 31c | 120$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…8869backed JD Gaming | 42c | 117.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39de…1b55backed Nova Esports | 47c | 116.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed JD Gaming | 66c | 115$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Nova Esports | 70c | 113.52$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed JD Gaming | 30c | 110$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.9 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed JD Gaming | 32c | 106.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Nova Esports | 70c | 106.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.86 | 155 | 60.6%94 W · 61 L | +14.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22bc…a20fbacked JD Gaming | 53c | 100.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed JD Gaming | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed JD Gaming | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x173e…9ff4backed JD Gaming | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed JD Gaming | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked JD Gaming | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Nova Esports | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bf…180cbacked Nova Esports | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed JD Gaming | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Nova Esports | 37c | 97.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fa…f856backed Nova Esports | 74c | 97.57$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2edf…f14fbacked Nova Esports | 72c | 95.83$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked JD Gaming | 53c | 95.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 308 | 35.4%109 W · 199 L | -23.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed JD Gaming | 35c | 94.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Nova Esports | 57c | 91.15$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked JD Gaming | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked JD Gaming | 58c | 90.79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed JD Gaming | 30c | 90.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.43 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b14…b8debacked Nova Esports | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsthis page
- Map Handicap: NOVA (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)JD Gaming won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming - Map 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming - Map 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.