TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd056…f1be

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
909
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
22

Best Category: Commodities, grading 65 out of 100 (+0.14 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 65 out of 100; worst La Liga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT64350.2%323 W · 320 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 643 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Maks Kasnikowski vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Maks Kasnikowski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
US Open, Qualification WTA: Whitney Osuigwe vs Mona Barthelbacked Mona Barthel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$45.26
US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
US Open, Qualification ATP: Bernard Tomic vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Bernard Tomic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men: Tanguy Genier vs Pierre Antoine Tailleubacked Pierre Antoine Tailleu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+88.5%+$86.78
US Open, Qualification ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Kei Nishikoribacked Kei Nishikori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
ITF M15 Allershausen Men: Hazem Naw vs Bruno Fernandezbacked Bruno Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
US Open, Qualification ATP: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Tom Gentzschbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$61.89
Set 1 Winner: Dolehide vs Podrezbacked Dolehide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Winston-Salem Open: Sebastian Gorzny vs Cruz Hewittbacked Sebastian Gorzny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Kingston 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Tyler Zinkbacked Luis Guto Miguel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$79.2
US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$94.29
Augsburg: Andrej Nedic vs Juan Estevezbacked Juan Estevez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$669.23
Augsburg: Denis Yevseyev vs Svyatoslav Gulinbacked Denis Yevseyev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$64.62
Augsburg: Liam Gavrielides vs Matyas Fuelebacked Liam Gavrielides · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$83.36
Roehampton 2: Hady Habib vs Leonardo Rossibacked Leonardo Rossi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$95
Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Alec Beckleybacked Benito Sanchez Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$94.29
ITF M15 Lambermont Men: Martin van der Meerschen vs Romain Fauconbacked Martin van der Meerschen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Set Handicap: Pankin (-1.5) vs Kisimov (+1.5)backed Kisimov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$54.28
ITF M15 Mistelbach Men: Nikita Mashtakov vs Marcel Zielinskibacked Marcel Zielinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
ITF M15 Båstad Men: Jan Simonsson vs Jonathan Mridhabacked Jan Simonsson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+581.6%+$721.22
Kingston: Clement Chidekh vs Lautaro Midonbacked Clement Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.7
Roehampton: Lui Maxted vs Gabi Boitanbacked Gabi Boitan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Prague 2: Norbert Gombos vs Sean Cueninbacked Sean Cuenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 643 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT4843.8%21 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$441.34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$777.52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.36
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.98
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$274.08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$630.26
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+159.7%+$1,184.93
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+158.9%+$1,214.81
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$914Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$913.69
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.15
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,069.67
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$426.21
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$171.53
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$246.85
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$99.17
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$183.87
Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$85.61
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$576.45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+147.2%+$580.89
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$283.87
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$109.99
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$436
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.96
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+50%+$33.47
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$35.94
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: England (-2.5)backed Panama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+79%+$96.3
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$70.48
Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.9
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$90.53
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$110.77
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$114.21
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Lithuania win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$139.29
South Africa vs. Cameroon: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$59.3
All 21 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.11
Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.81
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$150.68
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.56
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+599.7%+$179.92
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+143.3%+$952.43
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.71
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,012.2
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.6
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.92
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.65
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+347%+$493.67
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$196.76
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$555
Will King Charles say "Anniversary" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Starmer say "Conservative" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$22.83
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.62
Will Starmer say "China" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.49
Will Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.1
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 20 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: CD Universidad Católica O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$73.98
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$34.17
Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: Club Santos Laguna O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$87.81
CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: CA Rosario Central O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$198.09
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$211.69
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)backed CA River Plate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$42.84
Spread: Club Bolívar (-1.5)backed Club Bolívar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$76.86
Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.6
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Independiente end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$125
Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$106.48
Mirassol FC vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$90.82
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.86
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,741Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,740.93
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.8
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.24
Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.47
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,113.1
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,641Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$1,366.01
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+254.4%+$294.3
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$144.63
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.4
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$850.5
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$191.8
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Will Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$101
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$202.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.9%+$77.4
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$24.8
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+148.4%+$41.8
Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Birmingham City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.4%+$22.07
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.6%+$106.69
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+54%+$135.01
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Southampton FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Watford FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.37
All 16 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1392.3%12 W · 1 L+4.7wins+0.36per pick56cpaid+60.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$147.18
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$96.32
Will Trump say "Switzerland" this week? (January 18)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+34.8%+$19.14
Will Trump say "Eight and a Quarter War" this week? (January 18)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.3
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$58.33
Will Trump say "Trump Family" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+96.1%+$205.78
Will Trump say "Jesus Christ" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+81.8%+$108.85
Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+96.3%+$31.79
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+37.1%+$69.28
Will Trump say "Hero " or "Patriot" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+122.2%+$220
Will Trump say "B-2" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+101.9%+$108.5
Will Trump say "Golden Dome" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+92.7%+$128.6
Will Trump say "Ukraine" 5+ times at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+69.5%+$98.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-58.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.8
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$51.67
Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$49.59
Will Warsh say "President" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$143.08
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.88
Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.37
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+4.8wins+0.48per pick42cpaid+171.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$418.4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$791.46
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$737Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$624.56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$258.82
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$234.88
Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+446.7%+$1,273.2
Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+443.9%+$1,589.31
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$243.25
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$55.49
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-61.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Noir Verse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked SAW Youngsters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: STATE vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffsbacked STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$59.58
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-Inbacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Counter-Strike: pugdesonesto vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffsbacked pugdesonesto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffsbacked MEIA NOITE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+101%+$31.77
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.02
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 1 Winnerbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.48
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsbacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.15
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Seoul vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$120.44
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$135.08
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+58.7%+$82.22
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+117.6%+$176.33
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+83.9%+$93.07
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-67.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+89.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-38.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+203.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-45%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Navy (-7.5)backed Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$121.6
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+65.1%+$32.54
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$89.3
Golden Knights vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Lorient vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
Toulouse FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portland State Vikings vs. Weber State Wildcatsbacked Portland State Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+257.1%+$77.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: Team to Advancebacked Qairat FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$195.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during NYC rally?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.