TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KRÜ Esportsof KRÜ Esports, BESTIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$264,948
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$279,502

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,948 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd30…f316backed BESTIA35c50,006$17,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,502.225429.6%16 W · 38 L-9.2wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-42%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked KRÜ Esports65c47,268$30,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,543.9919046.3%88 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked BESTIA38c22,958$8,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,611.6126650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed KRÜ Esports71c19,632$13,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,780.2540945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked BESTIA37c10,871$3,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,990.8628143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed KRÜ Esports63c8,413$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,112.6312951.2%66 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed KRÜ Esports64c7,011$4,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,523.946038.3%23 W · 37 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa233…41f9backed KRÜ Esports65c6,835$4,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,392.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked KRÜ Esports66c6,005$3,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.393956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked BESTIA36c5,948$2,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,168.6450944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked BESTIA36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.914630.4%14 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x026b…8804backed BESTIA57c4,200$2,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,384.4715358.8%90 W · 63 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed KRÜ Esports64c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.9932047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed BESTIA67c3,982$2,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,657.5753159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed BESTIA34c3,158$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.6525554.9%140 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked KRÜ Esports68c3,036$2,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.928743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed KRÜ Esports65c2,948$1,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.46040%24 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed KRÜ Esports73c2,942$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.3893148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed BESTIA9c2,866$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.411,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed BESTIA34c2,422$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.656930.4%21 W · 48 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed BESTIA34c2,053$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70019847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked BESTIA36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-57.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5944…764ebacked KRÜ Esports48c1,922$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.664163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked BESTIA38c1,897$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.3410341.7%43 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked KRÜ Esports37c1,740$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.4335142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed BESTIA35c1,600$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56026447.3%125 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked KRÜ Esports77c1,568$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0694361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed BESTIA35c1,534$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.8366438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed BESTIA19c1,500$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.9424250.4%122 W · 120 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed BESTIA28c1,447$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.3160022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed BESTIA61c1,403$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.3251749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d35…b406backed KRÜ Esports37c1,368$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.795143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3e0…708fbacked KRÜ Esports52c1,343$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.193946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked BESTIA24c1,342$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.279737.1%36 W · 61 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed BESTIA22c1,246$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.6439646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed KRÜ Esports65c1,203$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.2363955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaffc…1d31backed KRÜ Esports62c1,122$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.691040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed KRÜ Esports32c1,100$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74632245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2701…7d87backed KRÜ Esports62c1,065$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.941060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e6d…6f31backed BESTIA40c1,048$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.86443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed BESTIA35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed BESTIA35c999.98$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9928541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked BESTIA36c998.99$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.6455152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed BESTIA34c986.97$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.2216950.9%86 W · 83 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed KRÜ Esports40c986.42$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.8146326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4a6…6c3fbacked KRÜ Esports64c975.07$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.03771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked BESTIA34c929.13$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.4210346.6%48 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed KRÜ Esports50c900$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45014645.2%66 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed BESTIA34c869$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.879046.7%42 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BESTIA36c861.4$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.168458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked BESTIA34c843.71$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.981,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed KRÜ Esports35c820$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.3181134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed BESTIA18c817.57$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1913355.6%74 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked KRÜ Esports73c816.55$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.6788844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked BESTIA37c811.99$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.831,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb1…aebabacked KRÜ Esports66c758.48$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.484445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+24.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5ec2…82babacked BESTIA22c758.44$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.3757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked KRÜ Esports42c683.95$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.691,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed KRÜ Esports31c617.67$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.718735.3%66 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde4b…1222backed KRÜ Esports41c582.29$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.913666.7%24 W · 12 L+7.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8045…9116backed KRÜ Esports55c555$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed KRÜ Esports67c530.87$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.191369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed KRÜ Esports78c513$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3246347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked KRÜ Esports78c507.67$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8678562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked KRÜ Esports65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17586747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked BESTIA25c494.05$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0838548.6%187 W · 198 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0f…d336backed BESTIA38c489.47$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1861154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked BESTIA41c471.05$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.268949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81d1…4806backed KRÜ Esports64c460.36$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.738357.8%48 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked BESTIA27c450.03$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4611044.5%49 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked BESTIA30c405.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3816420.1%33 W · 131 L-20.1wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-49.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed BESTIA51c405$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.4525555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe302…a986backed BESTIA60c400$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403250%16 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe702…d88cbacked BESTIA19c385.18$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.184843.8%21 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb4f…6e10backed BESTIA28c380.8$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.15561.8%34 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc67b…d35ebacked KRÜ Esports61c380$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.48875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf71e…917bbacked BESTIA60c366.18$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.36867.6%46 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed BESTIA34c349.99$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8418049.4%89 W · 91 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked BESTIA23c332.42$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.961,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked BESTIA41c326$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.668144.4%36 W · 45 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed BESTIA16c319.59$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3593049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed BESTIA15c313.34$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9569722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xe7ff…3506backed BESTIA22c313.04$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca4e…38d3backed BESTIA52c307.41$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.45742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked KRÜ Esports68c304.26$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8396245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e0e…2ca8backed KRÜ Esports31c304$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+112.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked BESTIA33c302.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.131,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed KRÜ Esports63c299.36$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.368259.8%49 W · 33 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+29.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed KRÜ Esports60c277.8$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.128744.8%39 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed KRÜ Esports36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.784647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed KRÜ Esports64c271.42$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.716256.5%35 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked KRÜ Esports65c270.65$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7430835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x08ca…cdadbacked BESTIA58c266.79$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed KRÜ Esports34c265.16$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.498066.3%53 W · 27 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x94b9…2592backed BESTIA20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed BESTIA55c244.02$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7249255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked KRÜ Esports43c242.54$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.391266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed KRÜ Esports62c241.8$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.83262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked KRÜ Esports51c240.3$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.816251.6%32 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34a8…8c5cbacked BESTIA35c239.49$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.82742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.