TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcf9b…2013

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
227
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorantlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT18735.3%66 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 187 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: KRÜ Blaze vs Looking For Laburo (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Latin America South Main Event Playoffsbacked Looking For Laburo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.05
Valorant: BESTIA vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.53
Valorant: BESTIA vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+468.5%+$204.56
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.49
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$21.11
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO (BO5) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.42
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.51
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.32
Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.3
Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.69
Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+213.8%+$193.16
Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+300%+$70.53
Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.13
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.41
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.94
Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked 2GAME Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.02
Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked 2GAME Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.02
Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.84
Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+286.9%+$359.27
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$760.66
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked QT DIG∞ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.09
Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.43
Valorant: G2 Esports vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.29
Valorant: G2 Esports vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.04
Showing 25 of 187 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+58.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.65
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.74
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$299.55
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.59
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.27
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$170.87
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+252.3%+$429.86
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.36
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+203%+$251.38
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$106
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.83
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$118.08
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$212.39
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.28
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.87
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.96
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$19.29
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$31.37
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.31
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.39
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+121.5%+$36.84
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$61.86
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.99
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+164.4%+$105.81
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Libertybacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Asuncion 2: Bruno Fernandez vs Nick Hardtbacked Bruno Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.