TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,966,419
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,837,638

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,966,419 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 771 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes17c184,958$31,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,591.8166846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes16c133,333$21,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,333.2842345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes1c105,814$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.2979231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x685b…8239backed Yes0c90,046$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.65825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-54.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6880…cf03backed Yes16c75,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,0006048.3%29 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes6c69,589$4,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,119.268,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes15c67,893$10,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,196.674,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes12c61,000$7,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,3206749.3%33 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes0c60,344$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.34953.2%3 W · 92 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x108e…b771backed Yes6c54,937$3,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,328.315930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes16c39,201$6,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,272.162,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes16c29,925$4,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7887642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes15c19,631$2,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,944.733538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked Yes11c18,493$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.2610550.5%53 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes15c16,993$2,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,548.971,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes15c13,166$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,974.941,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3608…b13dbacked Yes16c10,750$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7203036.7%11 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+46.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes16c10,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb187…0ab8backed Yes16c10,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6007940.5%32 W · 47 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd49…0e03backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d52…9b87backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+80.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2572…4514backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102611.5%3 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Yes15c8,305$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.833549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31cb…a34bbacked Yes15c8,173$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.974936.7%18 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes2c7,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15034122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes16c7,325$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.9270244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd4b…5ea1backed Yes3c7,024$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200110%0 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes13c6,989$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.1831945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x236a…9a00backed Yes15c6,600$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.992927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Yes20c6,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20015456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd744…526fbacked Yes15c6,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.993844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15a2…3e89backed Yes3c5,196$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.711219.6%22 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebd…ba30backed Yes21c4,547$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.8216033.1%53 W · 107 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes16c4,502$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.363,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes16c4,429$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.962,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Yes16c4,219$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6757950.6%40 W · 39 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc805…8e99backed Yes2c4,167$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51bd…2871backed Yes16c4,163$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6662339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Yes13c4,060$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.0929333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf956…2ec2backed Yes16c4,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6404219%8 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0e…0b82backed Yes16c3,847$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.5113542.2%57 W · 78 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes11c3,707$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.721,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes12c3,492$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.952,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc468…3f67backed Yes15c3,334$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.111616.4%19 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick16cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes16c3,100$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49625537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1070…b941backed Yes2c3,087$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.731450%7 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fba…92e7backed Yes16c3,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4804526.7%12 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Yes16c3,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48018027.8%50 W · 130 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes14c2,982$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.2742043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dd…aab9backed Yes16c2,953$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.41662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x55a8…7245backed Yes17c2,941$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008725.3%22 W · 65 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x720b…37f6backed Yes16c2,917$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.762937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4371…2ee5backed Yes16c2,830$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.81742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+49.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed Yes18c2,782$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.9415147%71 W · 80 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Yes10c2,708$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.8324146.1%111 W · 130 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Yes16c2,658$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.356541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x253a…af26backed Yes6c2,640$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.698229.3%24 W · 58 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Yes15c2,588$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40026644%117 W · 149 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b52…9575backed Yes12c2,549$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a23…fd22backed Yes16c2,500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007648.7%37 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Yes2c2,500$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.519850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7789…a2cebacked Yes2c2,307$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506030%18 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fc…128dbacked Yes18c2,222$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30e4…5102backed Yes21c2,222$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.621637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes16c2,221$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes14c2,156$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.3465835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes13c2,085$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.3636939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Yes16c2,060$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.68752.9%46 W · 41 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cf2…cec8backed Yes14c2,028$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.057018.6%13 W · 57 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes2c2,010$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.158240.2%33 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes12c2,008$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7545528.4%129 W · 326 L-1.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8630…158bbacked Yes18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36010233.3%34 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d3…804bbacked Yes11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2209033.3%30 W · 60 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb932…d2debacked No80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003278.1%25 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8339…fd49backed Yes16c1,971$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.4228533%94 W · 191 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ed…a533backed Yes16c1,900$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8de…3111backed Yes16c1,875$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009515.8%15 W · 80 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes2c1,811$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8651032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Yes6c1,774$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0738333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes16c1,698$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.725834.5%20 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecd5…755ebacked Yes16c1,695$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.225662.5%35 W · 21 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+75.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1685…6de4backed Yes16c1,688$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27527239%106 W · 166 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeec5…1862backed Yes15c1,667$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503727%10 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x718a…5d86backed Yes16c1,563$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.083231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…51b3backed Yes16c1,544$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2471723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.23per pick47cpaid-66.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xca61…dc6abacked Yes16c1,531$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.998042.5%34 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28b9…d983backed Yes18c1,507$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.3911040.9%45 W · 65 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc682…17bbbacked Yes16c1,500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa639…f6fabacked Yes2c1,471$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes15c1,448$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.214836.5%54 W · 94 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd99c…2efdbacked Yes16c1,438$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23015312.4%19 W · 134 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x595d…9ad0backed Yes16c1,313$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21014430.6%44 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd04c…86f2backed Yes11c1,302$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.242520%5 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a3…bbedbacked Yes9c1,268$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010622.6%24 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb79…47a9backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005726.3%15 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0713…d5c7backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288d…053abacked Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003828.9%11 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c0…4cd4backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001010%1 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdf1…2960backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016531.5%52 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.