TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb187…0ab8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7940.5%32 W · 47 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12,837Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,837.32
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$679
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,664Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,663.93
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,098
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,310
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21,563Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,563.04
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$993Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.2%+$1,163.78
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,014.99
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$415
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$568.29
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,099.56
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+292.2%+$7,303.92
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$543.44
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,814Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,813.61
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,342Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$2,577.47
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$3,305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,304.97
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,431.82
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$9,474Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,473.56
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,832Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,832
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,341.35
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,392Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,392
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$796Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66%+$526
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4647.8%22 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,488
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.48
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+41%+$229.03
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$285.44
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.67
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$146.98
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$39.03
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.4
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.86
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.75
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+30%+$21.57
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+138.1%+$28.27
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.31
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$45.98
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.73
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$10.18
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+132.6%+$56.96
Hornets vs. Grizzliesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+85.2%+$176.12
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$66.98
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25.4
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$81.37
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$73.92
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$69.99
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$15.32
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-47.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$497.37
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$144.24
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,366Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$5,267.93
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.81
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.51
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25.62
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?backed Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$47.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.