Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccd5f077fa920c645a77848ab5a0f1fcd8ff8292531cc99e5dcea2904c9667b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof PARIVISION, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $449,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $449,329 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb187…0ab8backed PARIVISION | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 58c | 63,772$36,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,705.05 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ | 44c | 56,848$24,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,100.2 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed PARIVISION | 57c | 45,921$26,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,175.17 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ | 59c | 12,800$7,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,278.71 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed PARIVISION | 52c | 12,798$6,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,662.66 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 46c | 10,717$4,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,748.35 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed MOUZ | 42c | 10,330$4,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,958.81 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ | 46c | 9,997$4,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,409.56 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed PARIVISION | 50c | 7,690$3,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,842.1 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked PARIVISION | 52c | 7,658$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ | 53c | 6,972$3,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,297.99 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed MOUZ | 47c | 5,647$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,968.43 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed MOUZ | 42c | 5,569$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220.13 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed MOUZ | 43c | 5,555$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.72 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed PARIVISION | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked MOUZ | 50c | 4,719$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.36 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed MOUZ | 54c | 4,680$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.24 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 45c | 4,461$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.67 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed MOUZ | 41c | 4,000$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.99 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 48c | 3,748$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.75 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked MOUZ | 47c | 3,131$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.43 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 41c | 2,869$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.32 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 45c | 2,688$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.78 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 2,422$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.33 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed MOUZ | 53c | 2,374$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.93 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed PARIVISION | 50c | 2,000$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.7 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked PARIVISION | 23c | 1,997$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.68 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ | 41c | 1,569$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.86 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed MOUZ | 40c | 1,556$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.65 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 45c | 1,511$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.26 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked MOUZ | 47c | 1,500$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.55 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 47c | 1,422$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.42 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked MOUZ | 48c | 1,380$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.35 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed MOUZ | 42c | 1,250$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ | 42c | 1,250$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed MOUZ | 48c | 1,203$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.92 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 1,200$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked MOUZ | 45c | 1,187$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.1 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 1,159$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…c05fbacked MOUZ | 55c | 1,100$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 169 | 32.5%55 W · 114 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed PARIVISION | 57c | 1,071$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.31 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION | 53c | 1,020$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.49 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked PARIVISION | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed PARIVISION | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +127%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 63c | 991$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed MOUZ | 46c | 969.49$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.47 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked MOUZ | 73c | 954.85$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.31 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed MOUZ | 45c | 919.04$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.07 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 905.36$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.75 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…21eabacked PARIVISION | 56c | 875.04$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.26 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed PARIVISION | 36c | 844.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff96…027cbacked PARIVISION | 49c | 824.26$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.66 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 823.39$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.8 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed MOUZ | 53c | 811.68$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.57 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6df…1cf4backed PARIVISION | 57c | 773.68$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed PARIVISION | 61c | 729.55$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.38 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked MOUZ | 45c | 715$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.25 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed PARIVISION | 53c | 706.36$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed PARIVISION | 25c | 700$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed MOUZ | 58c | 700$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.82 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed PARIVISION | 58c | 692$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.36 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 681.09$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.27 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed PARIVISION | 48c | 658.69$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.7 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed PARIVISION | 56c | 642.5$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed PARIVISION | 59c | 620.71$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.22 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 614.05$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.59 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…60f7backed PARIVISION | 42c | 611.26$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked PARIVISION | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed PARIVISION | 23c | 599.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed PARIVISION | 57c | 577.19$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked MOUZ | 49c | 569.72$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.72 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed PARIVISION | 44c | 521.61$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.49 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed PARIVISION | 54c | 508.98$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.62 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked MOUZ | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed MOUZ | 55c | 414.71$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.58 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…d64fbacked PARIVISION | 17c | 400$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed MOUZ | 47c | 396.8$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.32 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed PARIVISION | 55c | 380.01$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.24 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ | 47c | 375$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.75 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…4dc4backed PARIVISION | 54c | 372.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc97…2811backed PARIVISION | 58c | 345.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…b46abacked PARIVISION | 59c | 339.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed PARIVISION | 38c | 331.21$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.86 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…87eebacked PARIVISION | 61c | 328.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed MOUZ | 58c | 303.45$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.45 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed MOUZ | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked MOUZ | 38c | 285.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.75 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6160…fdfcbacked PARIVISION | 46c | 272$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed PARIVISION | 17c | 269.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PARIVISION | 20c | 269$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed PARIVISION | 57c | 266$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.62 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed MOUZ | 56c | 261.49$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.05 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed MOUZ | 58c | 260.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed PARIVISION | 41c | 244.6$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.31 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed PARIVISION | 41c | 242.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed PARIVISION | 47c | 229.49$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.86 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group AMOUZ won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.