Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5536554f7c80b2c1a547e12fca37cf635e0a3ca7faba6c3731da43411b7dbb45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof PARIVISION, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $248,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,344 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 58c | 27,811$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed MOUZ | 43c | 15,966$6,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,090.95 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ | 44c | 11,191$4,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,236.98 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed PARIVISION | 56c | 9,997$5,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,598.58 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed PARIVISION | 53c | 9,833$5,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,255.79 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed PARIVISION | 49c | 7,881$3,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.24 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 51c | 6,872$3,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,381.31 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed MOUZ | 43c | 6,233$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,552.55 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ | 50c | 5,916$2,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.72 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed MOUZ | 42c | 5,801$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,391.89 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 58c | 5,539$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed MOUZ | 40c | 4,700$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,809.99 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 3,327$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed MOUZ | 54c | 3,206$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.24 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked MOUZ | 47c | 3,193$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.02 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed PARIVISION | 56c | 3,163$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.78 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed MOUZ | 44c | 3,089$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 43c | 3,036$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.6 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed MOUZ | 46c | 2,800$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.83 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 2,557$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…d6e5backed PARIVISION | 31c | 2,546$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.27 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…b857backed MOUZ | 45c | 2,047$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb638…5213backed PARIVISION | 59c | 2,040$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.6 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed PARIVISION | 3c | 1,957$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.21 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed MOUZ | 47c | 1,918$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.92 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed PARIVISION | 57c | 1,878$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.97 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked MOUZ | 48c | 1,867$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.79 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PARIVISION | 36c | 1,552$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.38 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked PARIVISION | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.63 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.98 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed MOUZ | 47c | 1,362$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.02 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked MOUZ | 68c | 1,347$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.3 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 45c | 1,283$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.58 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…8c6cbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 1,191$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.51 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…8a8ebacked PARIVISION | 60c | 1,128$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1a…c345backed PARIVISION | 48c | 1,062$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked MOUZ | 39c | 1,016$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.87 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed MOUZ | 67c | 1,010$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.63 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked MOUZ | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed PARIVISION | 55c | 999.94$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.97 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed PARIVISION | 57c | 988$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.16 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 47c | 971.97$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.91 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…21eabacked PARIVISION | 55c | 913.95$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.12 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed PARIVISION | 53c | 905.86$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.27 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 40c | 900$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed PARIVISION | 7c | 869.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed PARIVISION | 57c | 850$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.5 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed PARIVISION | 60c | 831.56$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.33 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 40c | 821.79$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.39 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ac…c7b0backed MOUZ | 43c | 799.98$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed PARIVISION | 51c | 781.22$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed MOUZ | 49c | 759.34$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.18 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed MOUZ | 41c | 736.27$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.67 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed PARIVISION | 62c | 724.7$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.09 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed MOUZ | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed PARIVISION | 58c | 689$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.01 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed PARIVISION | 57c | 650.18$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 45c | 646.63$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.14 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 53c | 643.18$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.67 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 621.98$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.29 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed MOUZ | 60c | 613.48$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.48 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed PARIVISION | 17c | 601.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed MOUZ | 58c | 599.97$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.62 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PARIVISION | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed PARIVISION | 60c | 505$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed MOUZ | 36c | 504.28$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked PARIVISION | 57c | 500$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.66 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked MOUZ | 39c | 500$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked MOUZ | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed PARIVISION | 62c | 485.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 476.59$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.9 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 42c | 455.85$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.54 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed MOUZ | 43c | 451$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.58 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed PARIVISION | 53c | 449.8$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.56 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked PARIVISION | 49c | 445$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.05 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…eea9backed MOUZ | 46c | 414.97$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed MOUZ | 50c | 408$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed PARIVISION | 21c | 405$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked MOUZ | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.05 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed PARIVISION | 4c | 370$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…d36fbacked MOUZ | 58c | 338.42$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 336.64$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.52 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed MOUZ | 42c | 310.19$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.91 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91af…4794backed MOUZ | 46c | 306.24$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed MOUZ | 58c | 302.58$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked MOUZ | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked MOUZ | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed MOUZ | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed MOUZ | 47c | 295.54$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.05 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked MOUZ | 46c | 292.15$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.51 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…daf2backed PARIVISION | 54c | 289.52$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.34 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6160…fdfcbacked PARIVISION | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed PARIVISION | 53c | 285.89$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.52 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked MOUZ | 71c | 282.06$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.01 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked MOUZ | 41c | 280.53$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.51 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed MOUZ | 78c | 271.08$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed PARIVISION | 40c | 270$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed MOUZ | 45c | 269.45$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.09 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group AMOUZ won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.