Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa54aca6a22a2658ba590b8769e868957f5df900715ace122718e1a9576f7a144
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof PARIVISION, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,493 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 60c | 14,987$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 40c | 5,000$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,979.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked MOUZ | 39c | 4,319$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.85 | 361 | 41.3%149 W · 212 L | -22.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ | 41c | 3,399$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.16 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked MOUZ | 39c | 2,138$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.67 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,286$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.29 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x866f…d410backed PARIVISION | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed PARIVISION | 62c | 999.98$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed MOUZ | 45c | 997.27$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.07 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed MOUZ | 74c | 905.75$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.94 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed PARIVISION | 26c | 902.31$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.29 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed MOUZ | 76c | 895.62$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.11 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed PARIVISION | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 49c | 868.13$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.02 | 1,823 | 45.1%822 W · 1,001 L | +34.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…2c8abacked PARIVISION | 58c | 868$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed PARIVISION | 50c | 864$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.6 | 806 | 44.5%359 W · 447 L | -26.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 802.19$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.54 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed MOUZ | 52c | 800$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.61 | 359 | 57.7%207 W · 152 L | +25.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed PARIVISION | 29c | 647.93$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.01 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked MOUZ | 43c | 636$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.52 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed MOUZ | 40c | 524.51$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.51 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61aa…ff6fbacked MOUZ | 72c | 499.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed MOUZ | 70c | 478.44$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb237…f4febacked PARIVISION | 22c | 471.17$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bba…d34cbacked PARIVISION | 49c | 428.15$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 420.76$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed PARIVISION | 59c | 411.68$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…e80cbacked PARIVISION | 26c | 405$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed MOUZ | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed MOUZ | 44c | 382.27$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.27 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed PARIVISION | 14c | 366.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 492 | 54.5%268 W · 224 L | +23.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked MOUZ | 41c | 348$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.8 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION | 32c | 339.61$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.56 | 1,525 | 38%579 W · 946 L | -56.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…dfadbacked PARIVISION | 31c | 319.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…14c8backed PARIVISION | 31c | 267.66$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 265.1$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.15 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed PARIVISION | 25c | 258.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0865…3d2cbacked MOUZ | 59c | 252.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.91 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed MOUZ | 44c | 235.87$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed PARIVISION | 47c | 225.11$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.53 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed MOUZ | 38c | 221.79$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.29 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed PARIVISION | 28c | 209.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed MOUZ | 42c | 208.61$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.85 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…4acebacked PARIVISION | 7c | 202.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed MOUZ | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 973 | 42.9%417 W · 556 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed PARIVISION | 56c | 199.95$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.97 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…08cfbacked PARIVISION | 23c | 196.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…eea9backed MOUZ | 57c | 178.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked PARIVISION | 18c | 157.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked MOUZ | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…67c2backed MOUZ | 71c | 140.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…f72bbacked PARIVISION | 36c | 138.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d6…e790backed MOUZ | 44c | 118.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed PARIVISION | 59c | 112$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd74…76b9backed PARIVISION | 58c | 109.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 29c | 107.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 2,851 | 43.6%1,243 W · 1,608 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…5335backed MOUZ | 73c | 100.11$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked MOUZ | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked MOUZ | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa77…bf95backed PARIVISION | 63c | 95.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 261 | 53.3%139 W · 122 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…5bf9backed MOUZ | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked PARIVISION | 57c | 89.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…020dbacked MOUZ | 55c | 71.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda4c…1cc2backed MOUZ | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked MOUZ | 41c | 65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…c533backed MOUZ | 75c | 58.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed PARIVISION | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked PARIVISION | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed MOUZ | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed PARIVISION | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…1f0ebacked PARIVISION | 61c | 49.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eaa…a36fbacked MOUZ | 43c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…8d0cbacked PARIVISION | 34c | 40.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed MOUZ | 52c | 36.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8703…64cfbacked PARIVISION | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed MOUZ | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 33.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 761 | 48.5%369 W · 392 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe109…d36ebacked MOUZ | 43c | 33.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…641bbacked PARIVISION | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked PARIVISION | 57c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 1,175 | 47.6%559 W · 616 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed MOUZ | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MOUZ | 43c | 27.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 25.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…8e37backed PARIVISION | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…0b31backed PARIVISION | 56c | 24.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed MOUZ | 60c | 22.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed PARIVISION | 60c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 228 | 44.3%101 W · 127 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed MOUZ | 71c | 20.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 20.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3128…88febacked PARIVISION | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed PARIVISION | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed PARIVISION | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed PARIVISION | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed MOUZ | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed MOUZ | 51c | 19.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aef…da41backed MOUZ | 75c | 15.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed MOUZ | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7c…9e02backed MOUZ | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Athis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.