TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x672d…dbd7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
423
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT40047.5%190 W · 210 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 400 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,051Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050.55
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$573.96
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$950
Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+50%+$291.86
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$27.72
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$143.03
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$630.49
Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.71
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$134.78
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$309.09
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$112.08
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,009Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$412.59
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Poor Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+151.9%+$210.98
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 400 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$485
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+150%+$15.18
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$15.76
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+143.9%+$43.07
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+91.3%+$18.26
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-74.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$191
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.