Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf8066464cb32bbd657c0828b6a41c1e512360eb7498145b4cbe5c786f154304
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof Inner Circle, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $318,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $367,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Inner Circle | 30c | 26,929$8,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,132.53 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked 1win | 52c | 15,736$8,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,492.48 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked 1win | 79c | 14,993$11,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.57 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed 1win | 67c | 12,319$8,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,104.02 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Inner Circle | 32c | 11,056$3,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,532.51 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked 1win | 77c | 10,428$8,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.52 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Inner Circle | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Inner Circle | 31c | 10,000$3,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,078.35 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Inner Circle | 27c | 9,524$2,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.17 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked 1win | 73c | 8,879$6,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.95 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked 1win | 50c | 8,197$4,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,088.22 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Inner Circle | 17c | 7,777$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.08 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…2e5fbacked 1win | 77c | 7,182$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.54 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Inner Circle | 53c | 6,272$3,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,318.52 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Inner Circle | 32c | 5,302$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.99 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked 1win | 62c | 5,117$3,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.89 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Inner Circle | 36c | 4,867$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.61 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed 1win | 70c | 4,693$3,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.15 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed 1win | 74c | 4,501$3,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.01 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Inner Circle | 45c | 4,065$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.94 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked 1win | 79c | 3,871$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.14 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed 1win | 64c | 3,800$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.5 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Inner Circle | 47c | 3,735$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.35 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed 1win | 80c | 3,735$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.93 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked 1win | 76c | 3,706$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.2 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Inner Circle | 29c | 3,642$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.75 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked 1win | 78c | 3,617$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.13 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Inner Circle | 31c | 3,259$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.82 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Inner Circle | 49c | 3,173$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.8 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked 1win | 61c | 2,950$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.33 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed 1win | 76c | 2,886$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.25 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Inner Circle | 71c | 2,869$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.87 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed 1win | 79c | 2,671$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.49 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked 1win | 73c | 2,622$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.39 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Inner Circle | 20c | 2,607$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.57 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Inner Circle | 35c | 2,566$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.61 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Inner Circle | 19c | 2,530$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.1 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Inner Circle | 37c | 2,450$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.17 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Inner Circle | 46c | 2,445$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.5 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Inner Circle | 20c | 2,340$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.59 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked 1win | 70c | 2,000$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Inner Circle | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked 1win | 60c | 1,884$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.74 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Inner Circle | 30c | 1,816$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.8 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Inner Circle | 38c | 1,766$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.26 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked 1win | 59c | 1,750$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed 1win | 66c | 1,708$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.21 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed 1win | 73c | 1,529$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.29 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed 1win | 78c | 1,524$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.82 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Inner Circle | 37c | 1,521$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.84 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed 1win | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Inner Circle | 33c | 1,488$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.25 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed 1win | 69c | 1,450$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.53 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Inner Circle | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Inner Circle | 35c | 1,204$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.62 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Inner Circle | 22c | 1,200$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Inner Circle | 30c | 1,175$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.55 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed 1win | 77c | 1,174$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.25 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86bf…a172backed Inner Circle | 24c | 1,110$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.67 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Inner Circle | 71c | 1,101$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.16 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Inner Circle | 21c | 1,081$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d3…271dbacked Inner Circle | 3c | 1,051$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed 1win | 69c | 1,012$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.01 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed 1win | 80c | 1,003$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.6 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed 1win | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked 1win | 35c | 924.36$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.88 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Inner Circle | 26c | 896.26$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.15 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Inner Circle | 23c | 883.87$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.93 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed 1win | 59c | 850.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.07 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked 1win | 60c | 850$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.78 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed 1win | 73c | 845.2$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.2 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Inner Circle | 22c | 800$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed 1win | 71c | 794.34$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.16 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Inner Circle | 28c | 767.13$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.14 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed Inner Circle | 34c | 749.65$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.47 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked Inner Circle | 32c | 728.31$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed Inner Circle | 52c | 683.96$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.73 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…32a2backed 1win | 76c | 669.72$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.68 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Inner Circle | 50c | 665.71$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.04 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked 1win | 56c | 662.22$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.71 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked 1win | 78c | 642.63$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.19 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Inner Circle | 45c | 611.11$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Inner Circle | 49c | 608.16$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3038backed 1win | 78c | 596.42$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 235 | 62.1%146 W · 89 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Inner Circle | 3c | 596.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Inner Circle | 42c | 585.51$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.65 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed 1win | 80c | 569.62$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.92 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed 1win | 45c | 559.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.77 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked 1win | 61c | 549.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…200abacked 1win | 71c | 536.87$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.87 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Inner Circle | 20c | 514.15$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd977…d9d6backed Inner Circle | 42c | 511.57$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Inner Circle | 28c | 506.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.31 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Inner Circle | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked 1win | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Inner Circle | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed 1win | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed 1win | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Inner Circle | 22c | 499.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked 1win | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D1win won
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs 1win - Game 1 Winner1win won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.