TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcd65…5726

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
379
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT15453.9%83 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 154 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$748.23
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$748.13
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$550.99
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.5
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.75
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$749.62
LoL: G2 NORD vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$722.97
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.43
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+180.9%+$370.3
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$213.71
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+47%+$282.26
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$284.35
LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.78
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$748Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$192.37
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$445.2
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+120.1%+$867.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$749.95
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$295.07
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+111.8%+$791.89
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+94.1%+$375.74
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.5
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.3
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$377
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,970Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$817.35
Showing 25 of 154 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT11753%62 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 117 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$928Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+102%+$946.63
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,493.92
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,499.35
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,481Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,480.67
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+281.4%+$989.9
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$993Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$263.04
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Level UP - Game 2 Winnerbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+185.8%+$609.51
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$922.62
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$847.61
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$569.25
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$87.98
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$424.43
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.06
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$307.12
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.5
Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked ZEDI Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.51
Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$883Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$317.32
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.17
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$807Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$557.51
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.61
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$378.81
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$775.95
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+174%+$473.06
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$352.41
Showing 25 of 117 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST3627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Rocketsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+284.6%+$1,044.54
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$850
Bucks vs. Knicksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,332
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$798Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$798.5
Hawks vs. Sunsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$245
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Trail Blazers vs. Mavericksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$380
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST-100%-$628
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,839Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,839
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$632Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$872.09
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+354.5%+$1,294.01
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$980
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,774Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+171.9%+$3,049.72
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+244.8%+$749.17
Rockets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$175.29
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,069Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$2,069
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$259.84
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$560
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$848Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+492.9%+$4,179.94
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,185
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$725
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,079Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+203%+$2,190.7
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$2,048
Cavaliers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$656Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$656
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,998.33
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,997Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$983.48
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,999.98
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,998.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,999Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$1,113.59
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,045
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$537.5
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,389.49
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,999.68
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,987Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,987.04
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,909Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+107.8%+$2,057.7
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,031.36
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,556Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$781.21
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,254
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,137.5
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,248
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,005.39
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,167Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$810.98
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$378.88
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 3 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+169.8%+$2,242.02
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,459Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,458.79
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$528.01
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.13
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$234.99
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST2055%11 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19,930Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19,930.06
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$8,518.52
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$5,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$5,100.34
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+104.1%+$4,891.84
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+455.6%+$1,694.67
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$118
Packers vs. Eaglesbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$7,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$7,150
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$4,596Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$4,595.99
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,615Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+147.9%+$8,302.07
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,716Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+156.4%+$5,812.28
Browns vs. Ravensbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$205
Lions vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,331Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$2,330.59
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,520Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+92.3%+$6,018.12
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$815Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$815
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,050Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+35.1%+$1,071.48
Broncos vs. Bengalsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$4,137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$4,137
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$907Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+40.8%+$370.58
Seahawks vs. Bearsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,033Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+47.1%+$956.71
Ravens vs. Texansbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,805Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+40.8%+$1,554.15
Chiefs vs. Steelersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,772Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+69.5%+$3,316.14
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2025, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+55.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+132.6%+$516.98
Will Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,140
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$485
Will Brentford vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$338
Will Brentford win on 2025-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$436
Will Aston Villa vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,184Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+278.8%+$3,301.18
Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+802.5%+$4,542.32
Will Ipswich vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$159
Will Brighton win on 2024-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,516Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$1,516
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,448Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+96.1%+$3,312.41
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$2,500
All 11 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+64.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$9,408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$9,407.79
Texas vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$333
Alabama vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+614.3%+$1,062.71
Syracuse vs. Washington Statebacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$120
Georgia Tech vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+138.1%+$580
Oklahoma vs. Navybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+100%+$307
Pittsburgh vs. Toledobacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$1,000
All 7 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,355Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+177.8%+$2,408.89
Golden Knights vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$717Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$717
Predators vs. Wildbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Utah vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$773Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+132.6%+$1,024.67
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+51.5%+$135.98
All 5 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$465.89
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,045
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.