Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x275d1a9eadf860ef7caab65c4a1b54ccdc10f995dd787e201a6e6f38650c6d39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed No | 50c | 14,532$7,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,266 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 51c | 12,002$6,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,180.66 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Yes | 50c | 8,375$4,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,187.47 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Yes | 51c | 7,843$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 49c | 7,067$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575.2 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Yes | 51c | 6,760$3,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,312.41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed No | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 49c | 3,596$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.91 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 28c | 2,788$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.14 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 48c | 2,730$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.79 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed No | 51c | 2,620$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 50c | 2,149$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.61 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 38c | 2,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 76c | 1,860$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.25 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Yes | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.99 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 75c | 1,118$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.42 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 50c | 982.64$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.32 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1394…e426backed No | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 48c | 715$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.8 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 51c | 499.92$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.96 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 73c | 471.29$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.97 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 50c | 466$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 49c | 447.96$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.46 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Yes | 73c | 413.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.65 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 4c | 254.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 51c | 228$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.72 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…aadebacked Yes | 50c | 204.8$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf793…e464backed Yes | 50c | 204.56$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…5e21backed Yes | 50c | 204.5$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda55…f1fcbacked Yes | 50c | 204.14$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 49c | 189.82$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.35 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked No | 9c | 175.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed Yes | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked No | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 63c | 128.96$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 71c | 106.37$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 49c | 101$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 49c | 101$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 49c | 101$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…a66abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…b609backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…baacbacked No | 50c | 99.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…3d69backed Yes | 50c | 72.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1453…eac7backed Yes | 51c | 67.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 41c | 51.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb189…35ebbacked Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2f…f03cbacked No | 51c | 45.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…9b37backed Yes | 49c | 45.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…3e2abacked No | 50c | 44.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6063…10e9backed No | 51c | 44.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…513fbacked Yes | 49c | 44.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bb…13e7backed Yes | 49c | 43.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…78f5backed Yes | 51c | 43.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22d…ea45backed Yes | 65c | 43.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…9075backed Yes | 49c | 42.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd575…0c8cbacked No | 49c | 41.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e5…b526backed Yes | 51c | 41.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf81…add1backed Yes | 51c | 40.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…c2f0backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…a5e7backed Yes | 49c | 38.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb884…0cf2backed No | 51c | 38.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cd…7906backed Yes | 49c | 38.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3173…08e3backed No | 51c | 38.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…1d4dbacked Yes | 50c | 37.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed No | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…5e0dbacked No | 52c | 37.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ea…5fcfbacked No | 51c | 37.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcea…ee8ebacked No | 49c | 36.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a3…09e6backed No | 52c | 35.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e2…4ec6backed Yes | 48c | 35.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…6178backed Yes | 49c | 33.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…de17backed No | 51c | 32.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…6639backed Yes | 48c | 32.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe202…0534backed Yes | 51c | 32.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…3122backed No | 52c | 31.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…b5a3backed Yes | 48c | 31.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37b…5303backed No | 51c | 31.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3583…dde4backed Yes | 49c | 31.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…3462backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…388ebacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6801…1b05backed No | 51c | 30.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9198…98f9backed Yes | 49c | 30.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6168…dafebacked Yes | 49c | 29.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e5…ea57backed No | 51c | 29.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc18…5c22backed No | 51c | 28.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…382bbacked Yes | 51c | 28.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…d2ffbacked No | 51c | 28.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x455c…adfdbacked Yes | 49c | 28.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…c090backed Yes | 50c | 27.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695b…c8f4backed Yes | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…f209backed No | 52c | 27.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x054e…e1abbacked No | 52c | 26.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d33…4471backed No | 51c | 26.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-26?this page
- Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-26?No won
- Will Newcastle vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.