TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1872…1962

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
285
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2025, EDT9154.9%50 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$25.29
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+112.8%+$16.43
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$18.25
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15.41
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Hawksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Mavericks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+92.3%+$11.69
Rockets vs. Grizzliesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12.16
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+170.3%+$17.88
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.58
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.6
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.71
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+112.8%+$17.48
Heat vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$14.99
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.16
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20.49
Thunder vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15
Suns vs. 76ersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+143.9%+$21.59
Pelicans vs. Wizardsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+56.3%+$14.63
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+69.5%+$15.98
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15.88
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14.25
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2025, EST4447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+185.7%+$21.45
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$10.01
Will Everton win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+94.3%+$14.47
Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20.81
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Fulham win on 2025-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+163.2%+$20.39
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.48
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$12.09
Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+88.7%+$19.51
Will Fulham win on 2024-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+66.7%+$12
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+127.3%+$19.13
Will West Ham win on 2024-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$18
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$19
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+69.5%+$14.59
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$16
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$12
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+150%+$19.49
Will Wolves win on 2024-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$14.87
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+170.3%+$23.84
Will Brighton win on 2024-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$12.25
Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$11.37
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$95.86
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.9
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$117.43
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$203
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+300%+$210
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.99
Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$79.94
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$92.78
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.93
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+292.3%+$208.5
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.6
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.5
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$111.88
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.62
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.91
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.12
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Tunisia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.28
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$65
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.68
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.34
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+31.6%+$9.36
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST2356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+104.1%+$14.56
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+143.9%+$15.81
Seahawks vs. Jetsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+100%+$10.04
Chargers vs. Falconsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+92.3%+$9.88
Cardinals vs. Seahawksbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$15.99
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+61.3%+$9.6
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+177.8%+$22.08
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$15.13
Dolphins vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$18.3
Jets vs. Cardinalsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$19
Patriots vs. Titansbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$11.52
Texans vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+84.6%+$24.9
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+88.7%+$20.71
Bills vs. Seahawksbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+66.7%+$10
Chargers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+108.3%+$13.36
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+108.3%+$20.58
Broncos vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Bills vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.5
Colts vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Jaguars vs. Bearsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$12
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT+56.3%+$11.81
Will the 49ers and Seahawks combine for 50 or more points?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT+117.4%+$14.09
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2025, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$11.51
Wild vs. Flamesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Wild vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
Blue Jackets vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.35
Islanders vs. Penguinsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.65
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14.3
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14.03
Wild vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Devilsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Capitals vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+99.9%+$10.33
Utah vs. Senatorsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Avalanche vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15.55
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Canucks vs. Hurricanesbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+117.4%+$19.96
Canadiens vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+79.2%+$19.02
Blues vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$16
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+92.3%+$19
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+81.8%+$11.24
Kings vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$12.25
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+170.3%+$28.66
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST2250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.93
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10.05
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+96.1%+$12.25
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+156.4%+$24.4
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$13.46
Will Benfica win on 2025-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+112.8%+$11.75
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+88.7%+$14.69
Will Stade Brestois beat Shakhtar Donetsk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15.1
Will Barcelona beat Borussia Dortmund?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City beat Juventus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+92.3%+$11.98
Will Aston Villa beat RB Leipzig?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Will Atalanta beat Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+53.8%+$9.79
Will Arsenal beat Sporting CP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal beat Inter Milan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will Manchester City beat Sporting CP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST+85.2%+$11.5
Will RB Leipzig beat Celtic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Will Liverpool beat RB Leipzig?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Atalanta beat Celtic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid beat Borussia Dortmund?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Aston Villa beat Bologna?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$11
Will Real Madrid beat LOSC Lille?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.36
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$51
World Series: Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 4backed Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT+78.6%+$15.4
World Series: Dodgers vs. Yankees Game 2backed Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$11
ALCS: Guardians vs. Yankees Game 5backed Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+81.8%+$11.27
Mets vs. Dodgers - Game 5backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Mets vs. Dodgers - Game 4backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$13.03
Yankees vs. Guardians - Game 3backed Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+104.1%+$12.75
Will the Mets or Dodgers win Game 3 of the NLCS?backed Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.04
Yankees vs. Guardians - Game 1backed Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+63.6%+$11.75
Will the Guardians beat the Tigers?backed Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+104.1%+$12.06
Will the Dodgers beat the Padres?backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$12.07
ALDS: Royals vs. Yankees Game 4backed Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
ALDS: Royals vs. Yankees Game 3 backed Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
NLDS: Mets vs. Phillies Game 4backed Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.64
ALDS: Tigers vs. Guardians Game 3backed Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT+100%+$10
NLDS: Padres vs. Dodgers Game 3backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
NLDS: Phillies vs. Mets Game 1backed Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2025, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2024, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-55.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11.94
Linea airdrop in Q2 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.23
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Joblife vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 1 Winnerbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.34
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$33.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$73.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$102.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Karlsruher SC vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$38.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+150%+$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$42.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Holland vs. Dolidzebacked Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$44.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.