NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6cbbbeaa6c03609ef87d96d2eba592366b620ee07143e5176cf6fe3d71735f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Wild, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Wild | 53c | 24,993$13,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,232.78 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Wild | 58c | 5,839$3,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,362.62 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Flames | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flames | 43c | 3,708$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.4 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Flames | 44c | 3,631$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.77 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Flames | 46c | 3,172$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Wild | 56c | 2,264$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.84 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Flames | 46c | 2,198$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.68 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Flames | 46c | 2,183$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.8 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Wild | 54c | 2,156$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.24 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Flames | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Flames | 49c | 2,064$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.83 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…ba19backed Wild | 54c | 2,010$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Flames | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…a3d2backed Flames | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…d5dfbacked Flames | 47c | 1,905$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014a…8aefbacked Wild | 53c | 1,905$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 76c | 1,899$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.13 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Flames | 47c | 1,775$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.65 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flames | 46c | 1,600$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Flames | 46c | 1,560$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.39 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…e818backed Wild | 54c | 1,552$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…ae6fbacked Flames | 46c | 1,301$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wild | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wild | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Flames | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Wild | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Wild | 9c | 886.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Flames | 47c | 859$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.06 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f55…0f1bbacked Wild | 54c | 743.74$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…0989backed Flames | 47c | 647.96$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Flames | 47c | 617.17$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.1 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…6e4fbacked Flames | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Wild | 53c | 599.94$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.97 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c9…8770backed Wild | 54c | 599.36$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Wild | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Flames | 48c | 437.5$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Flames | 47c | 428.96$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.35 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ede…d518backed Wild | 54c | 416.7$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flames | 42c | 349.77$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.87 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Flames | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Flames | 46c | 299.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flames | 64c | 288.33$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.8 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Flames | 46c | 258.98$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Wild | 55c | 254.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Wild | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Flames | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Wild | 31c | 238.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Flames | 47c | 219.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ef…0b1dbacked Flames | 47c | 214.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3998…f07bbacked Flames | 47c | 212.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Flames | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc830…a7a5backed Wild | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Wild | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b04…7e6abacked Wild | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x061f…d4e6backed Flames | 47c | 198.02$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…4ba9backed Wild | 54c | 198.02$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1390…d151backed Flames | 47c | 193.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Wild | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…0e96backed Wild | 54c | 161.26$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Wild | 54c | 141.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Flames | 48c | 132.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Flames | 46c | 130.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ac…0ac3backed Flames | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Flames | 46c | 116.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.17 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Flames | 47c | 116.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e5…7d39backed Flames | 47c | 114.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a2…8e7cbacked Flames | 47c | 113.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…1f29backed Flames | 47c | 110.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Flames | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Wild | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Flames | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd132…2cb5backed Flames | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…342bbacked Flames | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…fb46backed Wild | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…32eebacked Flames | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Flames | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cd…844dbacked Flames | 47c | 97.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…1308backed Wild | 54c | 97.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8eb…fe37backed Flames | 47c | 96.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…6f1ebacked Wild | 54c | 96.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…87e5backed Wild | 54c | 95.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…1176backed Flames | 47c | 95.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…d4a0backed Flames | 47c | 93.73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c8…19d4backed Wild | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…d8ccbacked Flames | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865b…10a0backed Wild | 54c | 89.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…3f78backed Wild | 54c | 86.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Flames | 46c | 86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2b…94a6backed Flames | 47c | 85.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…c811backed Wild | 55c | 84.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38c…1ddabacked Wild | 54c | 84.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9389…024abacked Wild | 54c | 83.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea9…790bbacked Flames | 47c | 83.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61eb…0598backed Wild | 55c | 82.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33e…f554backed Wild | 54c | 81.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…d097backed Flames | 47c | 74.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7f…4927backed Wild | 54c | 74.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…6dabbacked Flames | 47c | 73.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aea…6617backed Flames | 47c | 68.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.