TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe32e…890b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
416
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST36242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 362 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Bruinsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$7,359Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$7,358.92
Sharks vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,927Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,927.21
Utah vs. Maple Leafsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20,819Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20,818.55
Jets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$239.93
Panthers vs. Ducksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$8,912Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$8,912.38
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$5,639.99
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,726Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,725.79
Blackhawks vs. Krakenbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18,450
Canucks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12,500
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+122.2%+$2,750
Devils vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14,627Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+117%+$17,108.95
Devils vs. Kingsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24,722Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+112.7%+$27,854.59
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$519.71
Canucks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$85.51
Canucks vs. Wild: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$8,121Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,120.74
Stars vs. Panthersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,914Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,914.09
Avalanche vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$902Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$1,535.56
Penguins vs. Jetsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19,026.88
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18,200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$16,800
Blackhawks vs. Jetsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,655Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,654.89
Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11,880Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$10,120
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.95
Canadiens vs. Krakenbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13,250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$11,750
Jets vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16,415Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$16,414.84
Lightning vs. Predatorsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$437.97
Showing 25 of 362 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 317: Dariush vs. Moicanobacked Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$151.98
UFC 317: Hermansson vs. Rodriguesbacked Hermansson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$608.61
UFC 317: McKinney vs. Borshchevbacked Borshchev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
UFC 317: Diniz vs. Hines backed Diniz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$102.84
Dvalishvili vs. O'Malleybacked O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$7,648Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,647.64
Silva vs. Vanbacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$519.03
Murzakanov vs. Ribeirobacked Ribeiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,797Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,797
Burns vs. Moralesbacked Morales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$763.4
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopesbacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$193.05
Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblettbacked Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$7,859Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,858.58
Nikita Krylov vs. Dominick Reyesbacked Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,215Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+138.3%+$1,680.29
Dan Ige vs. Sean Woodsonbacked Ige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$557.05
Torres vs. Doberbacked Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,939Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,938.55
Cháirez vs. Vergarabacked Vergara · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$4,603Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,602.61
Rodríguez vs. Borjasbacked Rodríguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20,183.57
Lone'er Kavanagh vs. Felipe Dos Stanosbacked Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$164.58
Haqparast vs. Ribovicsbacked Haqparast · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,438Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+239.9%+$8,249.07
Amil vs. Gomisbacked Amil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+188.8%+$1,755.93
Ramos vs. Mariscalbacked Ramos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,132
Lee vs. Aldrichbacked Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,049
Yan vs. Riccibacked Ricci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,741Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$1,740.89
Jones vs. Miocicbacked Miocic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$1,600
Oliveira vs. Chandlerbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16,610Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+47.4%+$7,868.99
Araujo vs. Silvabacked Araujo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+43.5%+$434.59
All 24 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,741Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+66.6%+$1,824.53
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$9,135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+220.8%+$20,166.73
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$6,859Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,859.44
Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$687Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+132.7%+$912.23
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11,765Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,764.84
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,482.56
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,752Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,751.82
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,356Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,355.91
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.65
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,580
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2024, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Chargersbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,922Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST-100%-$2,921.5
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$9,392Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+92.5%+$8,688.55
Browns vs. Saintsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$490
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$61.57
Colts vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$582
All 5 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16,022Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+38.7%+$6,197.63
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$169.83
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,430Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+52.6%+$1,277.54
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+84.9%+$95.98
All 4 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$8,345Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+42.3%+$3,532.21
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11,123Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+61.3%+$6,818.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,996Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+49.3%+$1,968.42
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,758Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+52.1%+$1,958.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$4,324Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$4,323.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.