UFC · resolved market
Oliveira vs. Chandler
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c84a6f9f59752e09bbf310729b31d822a0d6290aec0ca201adba90281fda060
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oliveiraof Oliveira, Chandler
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $700,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $745,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $700,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 531 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Chandler | 33c | 81,055$26,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,815.63 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…c7f2backed Chandler | 32c | 80,344$25,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,780.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb75…0252backed Oliveira | 80c | 49,813$39,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,962.64 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Chandler | 8c | 35,752$2,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,916.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed49…8065backed Oliveira | 71c | 35,103$25,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,027.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f9…a90dbacked Oliveira | 76c | 33,817$25,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,066.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…0175backed Chandler | 34c | 32,509$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Oliveira | 67c | 25,000$16,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,249.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Oliveira | 64c | 24,500$15,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,820 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Oliveira | 68c | 24,479$16,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,868.99 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdf…6c07backed Chandler | 8c | 14,541$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Oliveira | 78c | 12,760$9,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6253…20a6backed Oliveira | 68c | 10,668$7,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,413.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3980…724cbacked Chandler | 32c | 10,298$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Oliveira | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Oliveira | 66c | 9,000$5,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce1…7f83backed Chandler | 33c | 8,441$2,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Chandler | 18c | 7,800$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.17 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Oliveira | 68c | 7,183$4,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…f0ddbacked Oliveira | 70c | 7,001$4,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Chandler | 20c | 6,763$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Chandler | 7c | 6,463$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.48 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a07…7768backed Chandler | 32c | 6,250$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc5…48a5backed Oliveira | 68c | 6,073$4,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f3…2f94backed Chandler | 32c | 5,745$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Chandler | 31c | 5,654$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.72 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 35cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d3…3c57backed Oliveira | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…23d7backed Chandler | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e3…2b53backed Oliveira | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578c…9661backed Oliveira | 69c | 4,348$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…e0febacked Oliveira | 69c | 4,074$2,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ec…0ff9backed Oliveira | 68c | 3,750$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Chandler | 7c | 3,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…34aabacked Oliveira | 75c | 3,393$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…f0babacked Chandler | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb101…2055backed Chandler | 33c | 3,050$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Chandler | 17c | 3,039$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…e741backed Oliveira | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Oliveira | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…0626backed Oliveira | 22c | 2,727$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0e…bdd5backed Chandler | 33c | 2,691$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…e680backed Chandler | 34c | 2,608$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Oliveira | 67c | 2,412$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.96 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Oliveira | 68c | 2,356$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.46 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Oliveira | 69c | 2,319$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Oliveira | 66c | 2,317$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Chandler | 23c | 2,266$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.65 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed4…366abacked Oliveira | 69c | 2,175$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Chandler | 30c | 2,115$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1756…4ff8backed Oliveira | 65c | 2,073$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Oliveira | 69c | 2,068$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.67 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Chandler | 28c | 2,060$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.77 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Chandler | 31c | 2,051$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.82 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Chandler | 31c | 2,029$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.97 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…a715backed Chandler | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Chandler | 29c | 1,994$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.15 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Oliveira | 65c | 1,884$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.69 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…4118backed Oliveira | 70c | 1,861$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…d4cdbacked Chandler | 19c | 1,800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Chandler | 32c | 1,800$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2601…77f2backed Chandler | 33c | 1,721$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…cfa2backed Chandler | 32c | 1,684$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Oliveira | 77c | 1,667$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x119a…2192backed Chandler | 30c | 1,582$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x720c…b8b7backed Chandler | 33c | 1,520$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…2fa6backed Chandler | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Oliveira | 69c | 1,507$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.09 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbf…2feebacked Oliveira | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbd…664cbacked Chandler | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Oliveira | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Chandler | 32c | 1,462$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.84 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…07d4backed Oliveira | 70c | 1,431$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b93…cf41backed Oliveira | 69c | 1,400$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…77a1backed Chandler | 32c | 1,382$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab60…b46cbacked Chandler | 6c | 1,247$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb9…e727backed Chandler | 9c | 1,226$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Chandler | 33c | 1,225$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8879…b58fbacked Oliveira | 70c | 1,185$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 39cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Oliveira | 73c | 1,148$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.39 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…b248backed Chandler | 35c | 1,141$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Chandler | 32c | 1,109$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 36cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe515…1398backed Oliveira | 68c | 1,096$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4901…f513backed Oliveira | 70c | 1,081$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Oliveira | 68c | 1,035$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Oliveira | 68c | 1,025$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…bfefbacked Oliveira | 67c | 1,007$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Chandler | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Oliveira | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Chandler | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Chandler | 31c | 999.96$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…a059backed Chandler | 32c | 999.73$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…6f87backed Chandler | 32c | 976.48$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.47 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…f64dbacked Chandler | 4c | 969.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Chandler | 27c | 939.43$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc8…35aebacked Chandler | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf319…8e43backed Chandler | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…8167backed Oliveira | 22c | 908$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…50aebacked Oliveira | 22c | 908$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Chandler | 33c | 906.67$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.2 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba2e…39b5backed Oliveira | 71c | 852.18$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oliveira vs. Chandlerthis page
- Araujo vs. SilvaAraujo won
- Jones vs. MiocicJones won
- Nickal vs. CraigNickal won
- Ruffy vs. LlontopRuffy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.