TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f47…af93

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
294
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT7437.8%28 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cole Palmer be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10,407Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+63.1%+$6,570.32
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+206.5%+$440.57
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,433Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+87.2%+$1,249.33
Will Brighton vs. Man City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+33.3%+$83.82
Will Man City win on 2024-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12,126Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+127.4%+$15,445.64
Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$26.69
Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$524.43
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$3,491Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$3,490.73
Will Liverpool vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$8,644Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+29.9%+$2,582.04
Will Liverpool win on 2024-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$438.54
Will Chelsea win on 2024-10-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,117Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+28.2%+$315.08
Will Villa win on 2024-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$244.94
Will Everton win on 2024-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$178.93
Will Man Utd win on 2024-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34,341Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$34,340.65
Will Brighton win on 2024-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$491.64
Will Manchester United beat Tottenham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$28,177.73
Will Manchester United vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$239.19
Will Tottenham beat Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$797Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$797.15
Will Liverpool beat Wolves?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$481.4
Will Manchester City beat Arsenal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,216Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+99.2%+$4,180.97
Will Arsenal beat Manchester City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28,289Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+26.6%+$7,513.9
Will Manchester City vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+274.5%+$91.83
Will Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$28.21
Will Manchester United beat Crystal Palace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17,707Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$17,707.4
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2025, EST5846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$299.1
Will the Ravens win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$420.36
Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,136.5
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC Westbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$112.31
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the NFC East?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$49.09
Will the 49ers win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$519.37
Will the Saints win the NFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$1,027.23
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$89.16
Lions vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16,812Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2024, EST-100%-$16,811.51
Steelers vs. Commandersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,287Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+125.7%+$5,391.07
Vikings vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,394Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$1,393.74
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,166Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$1,166
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+228.4%+$306.95
Chiefs vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45,042Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$45,042.21
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$4,107.37
Will the Broncos beat the Saints by 3 or more points?backed Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$45
Broncos vs. Saintsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,610Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT+67%+$2,419.04
Bills vs. Jetsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$56,680Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$52,319.98
Lions vs. Cowboysbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14,035Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$8,602.32
Jaguars vs. Bearsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,930Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,930.37
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,621Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT+58.7%+$2,714.04
Will the Falcons beat the Buccaneers by 3 or more points?backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2024, EDT+100%+$35.5
Buccaneers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28,530Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2024, EDT+90%+$25,668.13
Lions vs. Seahawks - Will Lions win by 5 or more points?backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Dolphins vs. Titans - Will there be 38 or more combined points scored?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,239Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+104.1%+$3,371.45
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29,345Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$29,344.65
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17,973Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$17,972.86
Will Japan win the 3rd most gold medals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.17
Will France win Gold in Women's Basketball?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+31.3%+$129.79
Will Great Britain win the 3rd most gold medals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+95.1%+$26
Will France win the 3rd most gold medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$65.05
Will Australia win the 3rd most gold medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$18.32
Will the USA win Gold in Women's Basketball?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,419.62
Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$37,664Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$37,664.37
Will the USA win gold in the Women’s 4x400m Relay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$8.4
Will the USA win gold in the Men’s 4x400m Relay?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,117.62
Will Jakob Ingebrigtsen (NOR) win Gold in 5000m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$324.29
Will Karsten Warholm (NOR) win Gold in 400m Hurdles?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,728Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT+49.8%+$860
Will the USA win gold in the Men’s 4x100m Relay?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,950Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT+281.8%+$5,495.53
Will the USA win gold in the Women’s 4x100m Relay?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,130.12
Will Serbia win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$111.86
Will Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19,448Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT+409.7%+$79,676.63
Will Jakob Ingebrigtsen (NOR) win Gold in 1500m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+156.4%+$28.44
Olympic Basketball: Greece vs Germanybacked Greece · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$25.12
Will Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 100m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35,295Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$35,295.39
Will Oblique Seville (JAM) win Gold in 100m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$250.71
Will Kishane Thompson (JAM) win Gold in 100m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,507Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT+162%+$4,062.23
Will Ariarne Titmus (AUS) win Gold in Women's 800m Freestyle?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2024, EDT+31.3%+$78.39
Will Katie Ledecky (USA) win Gold in Women's 800m Freestyle?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$6,647Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$6,646.56
Will Sha’Carri Richardson (USA) win gold in 100m W?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,249Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2024, EDT+215.9%+$2,697.01
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST2050%10 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,958Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+29.6%+$580.24
Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$280.34
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$90.37
Will Red Bull win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$891Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+29.8%+$265.34
Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,824Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+27.1%+$494.46
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$26.49
Will Max Verstappen win the United States Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+74.8%+$172.98
Will Charles Leclerc win the United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+129.3%+$157.97
Will Lando Norris win the Singapore Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,549Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,548.64
Will Charles Leclerc win the Singapore Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+30.7%+$198.93
Will Max Verstappen win the Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$79.06
Will Oscar Piastri win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,215.45
Will Lando Norris win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+49.3%+$45.92
Will Charles Leclerc win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+25%+$4
Will Oscar Piastri win the Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$317.27
Will Lando Norris win the Italian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT+99.3%+$620.66
Will Charles Leclerc win the Italian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.93
Will Lando Norris win the Dutch Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$827Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$826.87
Will Max Verstappen win the Dutch Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT+26.3%+$129.31
Will Lando Norris win the British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,321.48
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.24per pick44cpaid+86.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+809.1%+$267
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$340.61
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$853Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST-100%-$853.41
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$6,976Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST+117.4%+$8,188.64
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,336Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+35.3%+$1,884.62
Kings vs. Sunsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2024, EST+96.1%+$384.1
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2024, EST+66.7%+$133.83
Hornets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2024, EST+61.3%+$980.9
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+173.9%+$730.66
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+143.9%+$914.03
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$741Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+64.2%+$475.77
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,896Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$3,896.15
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,902Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+243.8%+$9,510.83
Heat vs. Nuggetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$529.96
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+92.8%+$538.27
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$37,505.2
76ers vs. Pacersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$4,767Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+270.4%+$12,889
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$461.28
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$7,655Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$4,691.65
All 19 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2024, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tom Tugendhat next Conservative party leader?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$472.88
Robert Jenrick next Conservative party leader?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$383.54
James Cleverly next Conservative party leader?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$71.35
Kemi Badenoch next Conservative party leader?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+238.4%+$793.13
Reform wins between 15% and 19% of votes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,177Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2024, EDT+112.8%+$2,455.21
Reform wins between 11% and 15% of votes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$64
Labour wins 35-40% of votes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$52
Reform wins between 19% and 23% of votes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2024, EDT+96.1%+$93.1
Will Conservative Party win between 75 and 99 seats in the next UK Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$21
Will Conservative Party win less than 125 seats in the next UK Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT+525%+$171.67
Will Labour win 425-449 seats in the next UK Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,298Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$668.57
Will Nigel Farage win election to UK parliament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$4,151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$4,150.93
Jeremy Corbyn elected to parliament in UK election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT+196.9%+$601.4
Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,523Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT+173.9%+$9,604.59
Will Conservative Party win between 50 and 74 seats in the next UK Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$35.05
Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,844Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,843.92
Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$360.71
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2024, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the match between Benfica and Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$32.83
Will Atletico Madrid beat Benfica?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$380.75
Will Liverpool beat Bologna?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$454.16
Will LOSC Lille beat Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11,001Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT+397.9%+$43,771.11
Will Real Madrid beat LOSC Lille?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23,648Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT+122.1%+$28,875.97
Will Bayern Munich beat Aston Villa?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT+138.1%+$276.74
Will Arsenal beat Atalanta?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$9,539Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT+108.3%+$10,334.77
Will Barcelona beat Monaco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$37,800
Will Benfica beat Red Star Belgrade?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,649Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT+96.1%+$2,545.54
Will Bayer Leverkusen beat Feyenoord?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,490.16
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Club Brugge?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,704Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,703.53
Will Club Brugge beat Borussia Dortmund?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21,808Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$21,807.58
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Girona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+37%+$13.5
Will Manchester City beat Inter Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,030.13
Will Liverpool beat AC Milan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,746Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$3,745.5
Will Sporting CP beat LOSC Lille?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT+58.7%+$55.33
Will Real Madrid beat VfB Stuttgart?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$622.2
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2024, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-45.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$7,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$7,184
US Open Final: Sinner vs. Fritzbacked Frtiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$311.01
US Open: Sabalenka vs. Navarrobacked Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,916Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,915.89
Will Daniil Medvedev win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$154.61
US Open: Sinner vs. Medvedevbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,813Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2024, EDT+35.3%+$1,346.67
US Open: Swiatek vs. Pegulabacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41,835Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$41,835.18
US Open: De Minaur vs. Draperbacked De Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20,217Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$20,216.83
Zverev vs. Fritz - US Openbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27,818Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$27,818.44
US Open: Medvedev vs. Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,983Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,982.5
US Open: Zverev vs. Nakashimabacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31,267Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2024, EDT+27.1%+$8,478.53
Will Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) win Gold in Men's Tennis?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,269Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT+105.8%+$1,343.07
Will Novak Djokovic (SRB) win Gold in Men's Tennis?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$565.48
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon Men's?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$831Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$831.47
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon Men's?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$7,011Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$4,297.32
Will Elena Rybakina win Wimbledon Women's?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2024, EDT+81.8%+$12
All 15 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2024, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roma beat IF Elfsborg?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$27,482.85
Will IF Elfsborg beat Roma?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT+150%+$56.18
Will Tottenham beat Qarabag?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$5,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$5,419.63
Will Malmo beat Rangers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT+78.6%+$74.48
Will the match between Fenerbahce vs. Union Saint-Gilloise end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$5,606Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$5,605.55
Will Fenerbahce beat Union Saint-Gilloise?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,396Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,396.32
Will Nice beat Real Sociedad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,913Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,913.21
Will Ferencvaros beat Anderlecht?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$476.07
Will Manchester United beat Twente?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT+426.3%+$246.9
Will Slavia Prague beat Ludogorets?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$800.43
Will Anderlecht beat Ferencvaros?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$275.44
Will Porto beat Bodo Glimt?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT+104.1%+$58.99
All 12 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2024, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2024, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2024, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jones vs. Miocicbacked Miocic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$613.75
Oliveira vs. Chandlerbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16,750Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+49.3%+$8,249.87
O’Malley vs. Dvalishvilibacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12,547Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+116%+$14,560.95
Burns vs. Bradybacked Burns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,303Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,302.71
Andrade vs. Silvabacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT+44.8%+$129
All 5 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2024, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-44%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13,607Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+68%+$9,258.32
Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$505.07
Trump wins a solid blue state?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10,392Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$10,391.58
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2024, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$755Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$754.52
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$184,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$184,013.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany beat Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$607.74
Copa America Finals: Argentina vs. Colombiabacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$10,269.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Minnesota Twins win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.