Boxing · resolved market
Over 9.5 rounds?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe86d70a03a1c4d2e2feccb55b1108342fc8d28c9f3212f0de296668345decad1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Over | 65c | 384.92$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1354backed Under | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5869…d117backed Under | 36c | 273.72$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Over | 66c | 202.43$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Under | 32c | 176.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 62c | 173.91$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.09 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 64c | 109.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51cb…6314backed Under | 18c | 98.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f8…9d0cbacked Under | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd227…3e2fbacked Under | 37c | 40.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d6…a89fbacked Over | 64c | 38.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6be…1758backed Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2c…663dbacked Over | 64c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f1…9434backed Over | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over 9.5 rounds?this page
- Beterbiev vs. Bivol: Who will win?Beterbiev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.