TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Beterbiev vs. Bivol: Who will win?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Beterbievof Beterbiev, Bivol
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,665

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,320 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x02f0…ab20backed Bivol0c12,210$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f47…af93backed Beterbiev57c4,993$2,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.81683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42e7…8523backed Beterbiev49c2,253$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90b9…8145backed Bivol10c2,100$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2103…96d2backed Bivol55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3980…724cbacked Bivol60c1,983$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-60.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa248…19d9backed Beterbiev42c1,760$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.183100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+99.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3407…ca60backed Beterbiev44c1,585$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7e4…24abbacked Bivol56c1,530$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcf…6770backed Bivol63c1,275$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2743…8e7bbacked Bivol75c1,120$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Beterbiev45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.11540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadcd…7295backed Beterbiev45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad32…80a3backed Bivol55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79ac…1046backed Beterbiev47c959.95$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c66…fa08backed Bivol55c880.96$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd13…e6f1backed Beterbiev6c573.32$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.92742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.38per pick5cpaid+779.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa29b…a0b8backed Bivol55c539.18$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.55520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-63.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Bivol52c508.65$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.31346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x959e…0315backed Bivol54c473.93$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0b…b8b2backed Beterbiev45c464.98$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.74650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Beterbiev42c447.24$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.95345.3%24 W · 29 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Bivol55c400$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9706…13b9backed Bivol60c350$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad28…1354backed Beterbiev45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e9…b5abbacked Bivol58c325.32$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b3…33e5backed Bivol55c309.16$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a95…45b6backed Beterbiev48c308.82$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x527c…5f6cbacked Beterbiev46c300.57$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x458d…694cbacked Bivol53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Bivol12c297.39$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.69862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick31cpaid+222%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Bivol56c295.91$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e6…7ad5backed Bivol58c279.43$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff6…ed11backed Bivol58c259.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf359…c6cbbacked Beterbiev42c248.75$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1f8…9d0cbacked Beterbiev45c245.71$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.96540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Beterbiev48c218.75$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.75650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1135…379cbacked Bivol57c216.06$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7929…cb49backed Beterbiev47c209.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.894100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+113.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf660…333fbacked Beterbiev44c201.59$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6167…2644backed Bivol55c181.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb523…4d50backed Bivol57c180.23$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a2…9a5abacked Bivol55c176.56$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc91e…7246backed Bivol58c174.12$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97a2…c86abacked Beterbiev49c170.27$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55b0…f1c6backed Bivol58c160$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Bivol51c133.98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.171258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd227…3e2fbacked Bivol54c128.59$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5616…a88cbacked Bivol57c118.05$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b8…1f22backed Beterbiev49c118$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c6b…88a7backed Bivol56c116.07$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x171e…6141backed Beterbiev47c114.47$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.67520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-57.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77e3…8078backed Beterbiev38c106.95$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+162.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Beterbiev49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8627…1630backed Beterbiev47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd120…cf59backed Bivol55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe31d…a406backed Bivol56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd483…e862backed Bivol56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37ea…7947backed Bivol56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Beterbiev44c87.96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.261233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-43.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcff9…bd64backed Bivol55c87.27$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c72…5c26backed Bivol54c85$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd187…b353backed Bivol58c84.48$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a9…6827backed Beterbiev47c74.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9442…0a3ebacked Bivol57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x971c…80a8backed Bivol58c63.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e77…21a9backed Beterbiev49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4711…61b3backed Bivol58c59.91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc135…21b0backed Beterbiev44c59.09$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.092100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6be…1758backed Bivol54c55.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c17…9b2dbacked Beterbiev45c53.29$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.314100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+95.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0878…1374backed Beterbiev45c52.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf2b…aff1backed Bivol62c51.69$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Bivol55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ef0…f1a9backed Bivol55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9488…6802backed Beterbiev46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77aa…5bd1backed Beterbiev45c47.13$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf434…04a4backed Bivol58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85e…8625backed Bivol58c43.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bd…1d3cbacked Beterbiev38c40.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Beterbiev43c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick34cpaid+224.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Bivol55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2250%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf417…308bbacked Bivol56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Bivol56c32.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.244839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5adb…42dbbacked Bivol52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd80…7e2cbacked Bivol55c27.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f96…7a8abacked Bivol58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Beterbiev45c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.754942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62c1…29cbbacked Bivol56c23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc4…8c38backed Bivol56c21.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8caf…2bffbacked Beterbiev47c21.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.