TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa29b…a0b8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 54 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT2744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.14
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 20-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 13-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$155.71
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 June 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$144.1
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.11
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 20-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$135.88
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 13-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.98
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.81
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 23-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.31
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 March 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$170.65
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+114%+$136.74
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+104.1%+$176.94
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$110.77
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+122.4%+$238.61
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+99%+$158.41
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 19-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+104.1%+$200.88
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$73.9
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$288.24
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+133.7%+$133.72
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$694Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+289.7%+$2,009.36
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$996Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+70%+$697.76
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+189%+$113.37
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+94.6%+$94.57
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$50.08
VOOI FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+156.3%+$312.61
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+26.6%+$53.16
Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$998.5
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+51.5%+$103.03
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+66.7%+$333.33
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.05
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$247.13
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$59.48
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool win on 2024-10-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$69.89
Real Madrid vs. Atalanta: UEFA Super Cupbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$85.69
Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+66.7%+$133.18
Will the match be a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT+212.5%+$211.14
Will Netherlands win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2024, EDT+122.2%+$122.2
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$50.04
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$86.38
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$986Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$291.49
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$232.57
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Will Real Madrid beat AC Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$100.89
Will Real Madrid beat Borussia Dortmund?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+46%+$91.97
Will Real Madrid beat LOSC Lille?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$100.43
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$108.19
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.44
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$724.18
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.93
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.78
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$266.04
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$88.91
Will Real Madrid beat Atletico Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$99.88
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkaribacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$158.71
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$91.11
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$42.48
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Six Kings Slam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$99.89
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon Men's?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$43.02
All 9 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-63.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+37%+$36.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$201.25
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$18.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$45.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.